Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x806963fb1a01b90ba87711a2f996ba125c934ed3c5a1e39e0836c94af69120ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,924,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,000,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,924,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 861 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc31c…7830backed Yes | 67c | 79,047$53,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,854.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked No | 29c | 66,249$19,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,389.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 36c | 50,871$18,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,440.58 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…1f87backed No | 26c | 46,747$12,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,335.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 7c | 45,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 73c | 40,740$29,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,201.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed No | 49c | 40,105$19,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,748.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed No | 35c | 35,923$12,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,559.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 51c | 35,428$18,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,052.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 76c | 33,000$24,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,014.05 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 49c | 30,867$15,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,785.94 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed No | 33c | 26,761$8,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,718.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed Yes | 64c | 26,043$16,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,329.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 25c | 25,851$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,587.51 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 74c | 24,944$18,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…7252backed No | 51c | 20,385$10,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,491.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked No | 38c | 19,198$7,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 58c | 18,506$10,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,752.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 72c | 18,297$13,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.61 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…7ee2backed No | 25c | 18,000$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…d6edbacked No | 55c | 17,703$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 67c | 16,926$11,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.05 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 70c | 16,578$11,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes | 76c | 16,411$12,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 72c | 16,307$11,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,603.33 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 36c | 15,465$5,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,544.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked No | 46c | 14,667$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,678.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 33c | 14,019$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.07 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…b78ebacked Yes | 79c | 12,926$10,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed No | 38c | 11,646$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…9b8bbacked No | 17c | 11,179$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…2144backed No | 36c | 10,936$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…b5bcbacked Yes | 78c | 10,828$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 27c | 10,616$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.98 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 70c | 10,575$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.45 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…a7a1backed Yes | 76c | 10,452$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…9cf4backed No | 26c | 10,098$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 42c | 10,027$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 43c | 9,731$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…c8e1backed Yes | 73c | 9,601$7,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 4c | 9,567$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.39 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…4515backed No | 62c | 9,493$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 10c | 9,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 60c | 8,318$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 40c | 8,100$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.97 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf317…7dafbacked No | 26c | 8,071$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…0427backed No | 17c | 7,777$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 74c | 7,690$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.14 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed Yes | 65c | 7,666$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…002cbacked Yes | 65c | 7,497$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…7789backed Yes | 67c | 7,465$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 51c | 7,125$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 23c | 6,886$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e0…6b20backed No | 15c | 6,540$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 44c | 6,510$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…eca9backed No | 17c | 6,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…34d2backed Yes | 70c | 6,256$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 29c | 5,946$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.15 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…7005backed Yes | 73c | 5,923$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…e8f3backed Yes | 67c | 5,909$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 20c | 5,876$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 15c | 5,845$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.94 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…11dabacked Yes | 69c | 5,747$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…e5bebacked No | 65c | 5,447$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 22c | 5,380$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…6712backed No | 50c | 5,356$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12da…d12dbacked No | 44c | 5,245$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde02…b7a6backed No | 60c | 4,960$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…6ff7backed Yes | 56c | 4,877$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 19c | 4,768$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…4290backed Yes | 75c | 4,529$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 18c | 4,474$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…d0c5backed No | 51c | 4,399$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…f516backed No | 5c | 4,259$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Yes | 71c | 4,200$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 49c | 4,187$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.78 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed Yes | 73c | 4,106$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 66c | 4,095$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.11 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…e69dbacked No | 23c | 4,092$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…8643backed No | 29c | 4,003$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…161fbacked No | 60c | 3,827$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…0586backed Yes | 51c | 3,777$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 8c | 3,775$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…49ffbacked No | 40c | 3,734$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…decbbacked Yes | 71c | 3,561$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…bf0abacked Yes | 77c | 3,541$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…654cbacked No | 25c | 3,512$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed No | 28c | 3,458$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 3,443$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.91 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 21c | 3,400$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…f263backed No | 24c | 3,377$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked No | 48c | 3,282$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 53c | 3,086$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…1511backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 5c | 3,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 24c | 2,956$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.36 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked Yes | 69c | 2,949$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.38 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 73c | 2,852$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.04 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.