TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc96a…396a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+354.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,144
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$583
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$532
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,597Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,303
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$315
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$321.97
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,975Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7,525
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,349.92
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,175.99
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,092
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,660Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,340
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,242
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,343.99
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$2,262.5
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,265
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,596Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,203.99
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.99
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.37
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$539.99
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+9,900%+$2,107.15
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69%+$20.82
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.85
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rashid Shaheed: First Touchdownbacked No Touchdown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$71.07
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+300%+$50.91
Will the Green Bay Packers win 10 or more regular season games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+203%+$74
Will the Buffalo Bills win 13 or more regular season games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.02
Will the New England Patriots make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$53.66
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win 9 or more regular season games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.99
Will the Dallas Cowboys win 9 or more regular season games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.3
Will the Miami Dolphins make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$39.5
Will the New York Giants win 6 or more regular season games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+163.2%+$19.47
Will the Seattle Seahawks win 9 or more regular season games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$152.07
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,648.19
Who will win the Coin Toss: Chiefs or Eagles?backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$945.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+77.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$82.6
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18,805Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10,125.64
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-18.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.7%+$9.97
Bryant Bulldogs vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100.6%+$116.76
Clemson Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+233.3%+$140
Denver Pioneers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+43%+$17.91
Alcorn State Braves vs. LSU Tigersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.75
Capital Comets vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$27.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+206.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Penn State (-6.5)backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$156
Spread: South Florida (-27.5)backed South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$253.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+55.9%+$48,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.