Us Midterms · resolved market
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8652114aba10ac01aa093e4135a070072a80908f0a0a7f0d6587fbfe55ad6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,218,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,192,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,218,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf5c…bf77backed Yes | 17c | 567,646$95,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,070.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Yes | 2c | 339,563$8,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,348.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…cee6backed Yes | 7c | 59,881$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…1913backed Yes | 14c | 56,928$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…95acbacked Yes | 13c | 55,932$7,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,108.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 4c | 51,326$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +928.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 13c | 49,082$6,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,491.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 40,263$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.07 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 20c | 36,903$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,487.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Yes | 11c | 29,245$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 8c | 25,700$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.24 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…7a5abacked Yes | 17c | 25,279$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 8c | 24,231$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.75 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…2f28backed Yes | 7c | 17,971$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352e…3c42backed Yes | 14c | 16,910$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 77c | 16,206$12,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.66 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 16c | 15,732$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 22c | 13,571$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 26c | 12,499$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.53 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked Yes | 6c | 12,284$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed Yes | 5c | 11,580$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…c6d1backed Yes | 3c | 11,328$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 11c | 11,141$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.48 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 13c | 10,477$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 10c | 10,050$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 10c | 9,879$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 80c | 9,797$7,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 8c | 9,201$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.18 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked No | 74c | 8,549$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…4f1ebacked No | 73c | 7,812$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192d…7d47backed Yes | 20c | 7,500$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 14c | 7,170$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.13 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,132$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yes | 2c | 5,103$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed No | 78c | 4,700$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.57 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 20c | 4,557$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.35 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,548$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Yes | 2c | 4,334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 12c | 4,201$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 74c | 4,043$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 24c | 4,000$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 9c | 3,850$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.37 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…7d51backed Yes | 5c | 3,749$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 27c | 3,543$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.21 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 7c | 3,498$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,202$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.89 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 75c | 3,128$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 9c | 2,975$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.72 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 8c | 2,937$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 12c | 2,851$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…0986backed Yes | 9c | 2,772$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked Yes | 7c | 2,738$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 4c | 2,693$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 75c | 2,423$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…1183backed Yes | 9c | 2,362$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 2,286$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…4e58backed Yes | 27c | 2,137$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 19c | 2,090$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.13 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 22c | 1,996$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.51 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 4c | 1,953$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,940$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,939$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f15bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,883$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,868$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 9c | 1,813$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 6c | 1,798$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…eb77backed Yes | 9c | 1,650$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 2c | 1,610$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…b2a6backed Yes | 30c | 1,510$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 10c | 1,477$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,461$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,452$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 72c | 1,338$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 5c | 1,304$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 9c | 1,180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…466fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 14c | 1,134$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…a609backed Yes | 1c | 1,058$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,050$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…7f3dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,050$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…6ac0backed Yes | 23c | 1,018$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…37e4backed Yes | 8c | 1,009$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be4…8134backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 8c | 960$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 8c | 950$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes | 16c | 875.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…269fbacked No | 73c | 860$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 2c | 827$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 75c | 800$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 2c | 760$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 16c | 691.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 9c | 688.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 19c | 683.82$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…d896backed Yes | 15c | 596.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 6c | 595$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…5087backed Yes | 13c | 572.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?this page
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.