Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56be74a9c5e65b5b41d885e5749637839113e5cb0fcc8051e802e12f1bf26581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee15…b6dbbacked No | 1c | 48,900$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 27c | 6,932$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…b592backed Yes | 78c | 6,517$5,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 15c | 4,553$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.42 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 16c | 4,149$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.98 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 20c | 3,742$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +480.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 80c | 3,574$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 40c | 3,476$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.88 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…37e4backed Yes | 70c | 3,027$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked No | 2c | 2,792$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 2c | 2,569$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +3,757.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 20c | 2,381$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 26c | 2,226$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed Yes | 72c | 2,164$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…5a76backed Yes | 73c | 2,117$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.53 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 25c | 1,923$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.85 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 1,848$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 3c | 1,375$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 3c | 1,008$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 27c | 945.21$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.1 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…bf77backed No | 28c | 903.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 29c | 802.1$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 12c | 794.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 3c | 725$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 73c | 692.84$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Yes | 70c | 656.13$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 75c | 623.54$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 617.11$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…225bbacked No | 19c | 531.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 503.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed No | 23c | 393$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 70c | 376.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 71c | 361.24$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 72c | 360$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…5087backed Yes | 72c | 357.01$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 27c | 307.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 30c | 267.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 19c | 258.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 67c | 253.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 29c | 250$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 71c | 225.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 75c | 218.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 72c | 208.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…05e2backed Yes | 74c | 203.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed No | 33c | 200.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…e009backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 77c | 185.72$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…a7b8backed Yes | 60c | 164.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…1236backed Yes | 76c | 157.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eea…ad52backed Yes | 77c | 131.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb23…62e2backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Yes | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 68c | 100.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 28c | 100.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…d32abacked Yes | 78c | 100.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked No | 31c | 96.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 38c | 95.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2748backed Yes | 76c | 91.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 72c | 78.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…2f28backed Yes | 72c | 72.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17df…6bfcbacked No | 31c | 71.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…d5edbacked Yes | 74c | 67.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc195…5f72backed Yes | 75c | 66.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 76c | 65.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9098…45e1backed No | 39c | 64.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 64c | 62.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 55.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 59c | 50.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +425.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 73c | 48.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 32c | 47.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…b319backed Yes | 72c | 42.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed Yes | 61c | 41.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb99e…da7bbacked Yes | 72c | 40.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 35c | 39.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…b46bbacked Yes | 64c | 39.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…5feabacked No | 48c | 38.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…c54abacked Yes | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…0564backed Yes | 68c | 37.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…da08backed No | 32c | 36.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +336.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…eed2backed Yes | 75c | 33.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…c541backed Yes | 63c | 28.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…5b91backed Yes | 70c | 27.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 40c | 26.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No won
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.