Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19db45877c87240459363cf1f510c4404b7af846df01de88060f95fc76aa2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee15…b6dbbacked No | 1c | 18,900$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 24c | 15,500$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…bf77backed No | 25c | 11,222$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 79c | 8,894$7,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 75c | 3,667$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 12c | 3,525$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 25c | 2,841$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.06 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 18c | 2,738$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +480.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 3c | 2,300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked No | 2c | 2,253$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…37e4backed Yes | 71c | 2,233$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 2,001$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 71c | 1,887$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…5a76backed Yes | 75c | 1,761$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.63 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 1c | 1,589$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 67c | 1,545$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.24 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 52c | 1,254$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 7c | 1,164$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed Yes | 67c | 1,057$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 74c | 1,057$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 79c | 985.56$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.06 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…b592backed No | 47c | 970.87$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 26c | 966.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 23c | 877.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes | 75c | 720$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…a274backed Yes | 76c | 656.45$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 30c | 625$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 26c | 599.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 571$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 8c | 559.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 28c | 525$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed No | 40c | 520$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 77c | 444$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked No | 29c | 440$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Yes | 68c | 411.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 372.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 72c | 350$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 61c | 339.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 319.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed No | 23c | 315.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 72c | 280$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 37c | 275.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…05e2backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 30c | 257.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 68c | 250.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 31c | 250$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed No | 31c | 199.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 35c | 196$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…4c7fbacked Yes | 67c | 170.77$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d9…245ebacked No | 36c | 146$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 16c | 138.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…cfe0backed Yes | 71c | 137.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 58c | 135.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 79c | 130.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 48c | 124.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 28c | 122.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 27c | 107.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 25c | 106.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…e16abacked Yes | 73c | 104.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 28c | 90.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…cdb4backed Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 75c | 86.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a30…be4ebacked Yes | 73c | 81.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 31c | 76.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 69c | 72.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380a…7505backed Yes | 79c | 65.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…e163backed Yes | 78c | 64.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…8e04backed Yes | 79c | 62.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…2b8dbacked No | 22c | 62.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…0c70backed No | 22c | 62.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…869fbacked Yes | 79c | 58.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f5…dad2backed No | 28c | 57.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2e71backed Yes | 74c | 56.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed No | 50c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…eed2backed Yes | 67c | 50.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ee63backed No | 30c | 50.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…87bfbacked Yes | 59c | 48.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…ce50backed No | 41c | 46.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 31c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc90…c30cbacked Yes | 58c | 36.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…1ee7backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…854fbacked No | 40c | 34.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…ca50backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 56c | 27.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No won
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.