Us Midterms · resolved market
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24031532a31b0e3344eef95abe94b7c853f183cc9471a1fa1bfd6a0c6e716886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 60c | 14,017$8,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,383.51 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…5a76backed Yes | 56c | 8,574$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.73 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 64c | 7,254$4,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.27 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 36c | 6,777$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.75 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed No | 26c | 6,279$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…e030backed No | 34c | 5,910$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 35c | 5,628$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 30c | 4,823$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 28c | 4,660$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.14 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…5f6dbacked Yes | 69c | 4,650$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 56c | 4,339$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.69 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 59c | 4,200$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 60c | 3,956$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 29c | 3,728$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 64c | 3,654$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.42 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 68c | 3,500$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.14 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 43c | 3,446$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.69 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 68c | 3,406$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed No | 43c | 3,260$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.88 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 38c | 3,006$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.25 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Yes | 67c | 2,789$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 2,754$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.09 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 64c | 2,586$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.46 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 20c | 2,553$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 61c | 2,287$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.61 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 26c | 2,259$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…a582backed Yes | 68c | 2,164$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…f2cebacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 31c | 1,900$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 68c | 1,818$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 70c | 1,783$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,745$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 31c | 1,716$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.01 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 44c | 1,708$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.26 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 68c | 1,659$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 70c | 1,572$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 57c | 1,562$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.35 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 73c | 1,521$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.35 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 64c | 1,317$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,285$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 53c | 1,201$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.24 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,117$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.23 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 69c | 1,117$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 56c | 1,091$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 70c | 1,081$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 34c | 1,062$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.12 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,025$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 34c | 1,018$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.98 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 35c | 1,000$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.87 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed Yes | 63c | 991.04$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9daa…f4dbbacked Yes | 69c | 955.51$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 70c | 927.23$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 30c | 926.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.92 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…b3bdbacked No | 35c | 790.73$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 22c | 789.42$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 42c | 759.54$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.83 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 67c | 750$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 57c | 737$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.93 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 69c | 706.62$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1ebabacked Yes | 67c | 700$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 56c | 690$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…d307backed No | 47c | 642.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes | 73c | 639.49$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…a7b8backed Yes | 75c | 625.39$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 609$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 32c | 601.61$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 25c | 599.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 67c | 537.52$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 35c | 532.56$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…05e2backed Yes | 57c | 528.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.76 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 69c | 523.19$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 30c | 520.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…37e4backed Yes | 69c | 510$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 45c | 509.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 69c | 484$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…6db1backed Yes | 71c | 450$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 64c | 435.08$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 26c | 434.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.7 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 33c | 410$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…d319backed No | 28c | 378.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…bf9abacked No | 32c | 360.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 36c | 350$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 33c | 349$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 69c | 335.26$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 70c | 335$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed No | 31c | 322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 64c | 312.11$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 70c | 311.01$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 64c | 309.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No won
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.