Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25db6fab5a14bd5008415230cb0949892363e1fad6158fa27a2420b837ac2f8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 39c | 26,979$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,543.77 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 69c | 6,518$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.06 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 5,568$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 74c | 5,463$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 73c | 5,184$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 14c | 4,572$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.44 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 66c | 4,462$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 56c | 4,209$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.43 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 31c | 4,000$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +425.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.49 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 29c | 3,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.82 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 8c | 3,333$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.36 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…5f6dbacked Yes | 74c | 3,271$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 39c | 3,214$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.83 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 2,707$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.51 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 71c | 2,609$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 31c | 2,591$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.71 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 2,580$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 14c | 2,018$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked No | 29c | 1,867$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 17c | 1,772$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 12c | 1,750$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 43c | 1,617$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 1,430$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.77 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…7f3dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,353$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,232$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.79 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 9c | 1,210$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.69 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,199$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1542…5760backed No | 76c | 1,116$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 25c | 1,066$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.54 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 39c | 1,055$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 76c | 1,000$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…764cbacked Yes | 30c | 941.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed No | 79c | 896.28$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.06 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked No | 22c | 847$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 20c | 792$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.18 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 62c | 756.32$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 70c | 700$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 63c | 692.46$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 36c | 678.7$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.18 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 20c | 657.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 28c | 613$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 67c | 578.3$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 72c | 578.18$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…7038backed Yes | 18c | 556.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 28c | 533.41$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.19 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…fbdfbacked No | 35c | 510.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 39c | 476.5$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 11c | 467.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 5c | 460.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 8c | 443.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 29c | 409$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 20c | 397.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 29c | 386.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 27c | 378$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 39c | 373.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 55c | 350$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 345.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 23c | 340.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…0cb9backed Yes | 77c | 328$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed Yes | 78c | 305.6$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 20c | 301.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…e030backed No | 34c | 298.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked No | 23c | 265$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 31c | 228$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 24c | 217.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…3a5bbacked Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccc…3ac3backed Yes | 65c | 192.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 25c | 180.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 175.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 28c | 166$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 35c | 155.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…badcbacked Yes | 17c | 148.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…043dbacked Yes | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 28c | 142.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 38c | 141$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked No | 28c | 140.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 28c | 139.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fbf6backed Yes | 72c | 139.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f15bbacked Yes | 18c | 137.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 15c | 127$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 68c | 126.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 69c | 123$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 67c | 121.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x639b…15d6backed Yes | 76c | 119.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed No | 34c | 117.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed Yes | 18c | 114$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed No | 24c | 102.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 101.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…0cefbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No won
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.