Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5146367d7aae81f7344de300f877a47ab986f492aef4943bccae5c7e3b423cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $785,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 0c | 71,825$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 4c | 37,166$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 7c | 29,499$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 12c | 23,566$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.86 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Yes | 16c | 23,007$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Yes | 9c | 19,382$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 18,292$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.81 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 3c | 17,735$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 6c | 16,077$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.19 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…7f3dbacked Yes | 7c | 14,675$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 10c | 14,120$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.97 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 13,631$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 4c | 13,500$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 14c | 13,150$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 12c | 12,438$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.91 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 6c | 11,728$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.98 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 3c | 10,988$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 18c | 10,637$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 11c | 7,505$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.01 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 12c | 6,888$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…06afbacked Yes | 16c | 6,418$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 10c | 6,378$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.68 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 11c | 5,775$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 4c | 5,447$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.42 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 4c | 5,404$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 4c | 5,400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 15c | 5,385$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 3c | 4,901$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 14c | 4,626$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 15c | 4,357$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.59 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 13c | 4,329$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.36 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 4c | 4,135$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…5f6dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,134$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e162backed Yes | 15c | 4,058$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 13c | 4,047$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.74 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…37e4backed Yes | 3c | 3,950$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,940$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 8c | 3,659$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 7c | 3,549$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes | 14c | 3,510$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,320$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 11c | 3,294$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.67 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,283$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 4c | 3,267$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 32c | 3,016$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 14c | 3,010$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.58 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,819$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed Yes | 10c | 2,799$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…6e65backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes | 10c | 2,467$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…3f6ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,280$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 13c | 2,266$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…2f28backed Yes | 15c | 2,182$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 7c | 2,118$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…1d54backed Yes | 9c | 2,109$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 5c | 2,058$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 8c | 2,029$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 5c | 1,814$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 74c | 1,781$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 1,781$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 13c | 1,718$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 17c | 1,617$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…67c2backed Yes | 4c | 1,597$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 7c | 1,553$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1ebabacked Yes | 12c | 1,536$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,508$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Yes | 14c | 1,495$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 4c | 1,480$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Yes | 11c | 1,462$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 12c | 1,423$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…7547backed Yes | 11c | 1,376$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 5c | 1,333$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,296$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Yes | 35c | 1,293$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,255$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,211$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +1,840.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 6c | 1,147$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 7c | 1,140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f15bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,095$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,081$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…4e58backed Yes | 14c | 1,058$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…a885backed Yes | 10c | 1,037$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 9c | 1,015$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 10c | 1,011$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,003$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d9…eb3cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…95a0backed Yes | 16c | 959.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…a7b8backed Yes | 7c | 956.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…0e9bbacked Yes | 17c | 950.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 6c | 885.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 8c | 859.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…7a5abacked Yes | 9c | 810.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No won
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.