Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe92fcf67ce0b4a2636b331a795dd85c66b9403546742aa829af562e347058e3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 78c | 38,487$29,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,892.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 37c | 16,841$6,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,663.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 17c | 15,246$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,645.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 20c | 14,572$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.05 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 73c | 13,428$9,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,808.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 68c | 11,924$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 12c | 9,084$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 25c | 8,265$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 42c | 8,081$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 43c | 6,509$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 40c | 5,889$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.21 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 13c | 5,550$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.51 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 67c | 5,516$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 15c | 5,336$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 27c | 4,752$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 30c | 4,729$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 58c | 4,699$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…b592backed No | 76c | 4,109$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…2afabacked No | 2c | 4,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 13c | 3,888$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.51 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 8c | 3,805$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.55 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…28f0backed No | 2c | 3,455$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +5,943.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 19c | 2,944$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 52c | 2,847$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed No | 75c | 2,821$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.84 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed No | 65c | 2,794$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 11c | 2,777$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.62 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 30c | 2,480$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.86 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 49c | 2,246$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 7c | 2,142$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +246.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 7c | 2,142$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 19c | 2,130$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.19 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 23c | 2,053$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 31c | 1,924$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.88 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…e319backed Yes | 37c | 1,831$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,808$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.71 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 29c | 1,600$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 72c | 1,493$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.84 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 80c | 1,493$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 31c | 1,350$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.76 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…4d3ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,350$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,007$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.17 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 66c | 1,006$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 5c | 1,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 35c | 764.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 46c | 678.41$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 11c | 655$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 15c | 643$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.08 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…7f3dbacked Yes | 33c | 631.52$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 575.34$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.3 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 77c | 555$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 70c | 555$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +480.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 14c | 529.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 40c | 516$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.25 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 45c | 510$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked No | 52c | 502.49$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed No | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Yes | 24c | 480$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 54c | 470.91$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes | 14c | 468$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 30c | 450.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.33 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 46c | 449.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.65 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 31c | 398.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.1 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 38c | 394$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 17c | 368$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.71 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed Yes | 17c | 364.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 70c | 360.24$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 78c | 343.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 17c | 338.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked Yes | 29c | 336.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…82d4backed Yes | 15c | 325$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +569.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…a274backed Yes | 38c | 307.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…8b46backed Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 283.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…73fcbacked No | 55c | 283.58$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 63c | 265.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…cfe0backed Yes | 40c | 247.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…225bbacked Yes | 13c | 240$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 67c | 231$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 222.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 41c | 221.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 54c | 219.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8291backed No | 6c | 217.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 15c | 213.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 46c | 210.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 52c | 208.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…026cbacked Yes | 28c | 205.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 13c | 203$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9594…eefabacked Yes | 23c | 201.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…6cadbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfa…6ed4backed No | 74c | 192.88$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No won
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.