Us Midterms · resolved market
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcd7e50f3d9c718ac9e2046868d9131073b2eeeadf94ac7cae18c22fdd1828f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee15…b6dbbacked Yes | 1c | 34,900$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…c6d1backed Yes | 1c | 29,464$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,503$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed Yes | 0c | 19,448$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 4c | 16,986$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…bf77backed Yes | 31c | 16,928$5,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,196.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 9c | 14,459$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 0c | 13,150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 1c | 11,602$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,727$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 33c | 10,709$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e162backed Yes | 24c | 10,288$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 1c | 9,934$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 9,017$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.53 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a7…da75backed No | 77c | 7,117$5,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…cee6backed Yes | 24c | 6,959$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…7a5abacked Yes | 34c | 6,454$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 9c | 6,369$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.01 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 66c | 6,069$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 65c | 6,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…d0a8backed Yes | 15c | 5,894$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 2c | 5,612$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 23c | 5,031$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.25 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…2afabacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 1c | 4,565$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 71c | 4,426$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.26 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 6c | 4,244$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Yes | 3c | 3,600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 3c | 3,570$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…7f3dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,488$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…adefbacked Yes | 30c | 3,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 29c | 2,685$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…7547backed Yes | 5c | 2,616$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…a7b8backed Yes | 36c | 2,404$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 19c | 2,195$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 9c | 2,184$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 2,169$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.45 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 72c | 2,037$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.46 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 29c | 1,730$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.02 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 55c | 1,581$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.21 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 64c | 1,519$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.59 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 11c | 1,477$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 68c | 1,460$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,412$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 17c | 1,295$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,200$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 23c | 1,180$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Yes | 41c | 1,112$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 74c | 1,110$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 32c | 1,076$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.67 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,018$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…f15bbacked Yes | 19c | 999.18$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…1596backed Yes | 35c | 886.69$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 29c | 868.81$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 35c | 855.74$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…5f6dbacked Yes | 29c | 783.23$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 67c | 716.2$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 64c | 707.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 28c | 702.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 29c | 699.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 7c | 697.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 696.1$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 27c | 676.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 61c | 667.69$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Yes | 40c | 631.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…4d3ebacked No | 74c | 585.27$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 543$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0b…9076backed Yes | 5c | 446.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…7ad1backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…cf8dbacked Yes | 10c | 443.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9594…eefabacked Yes | 10c | 440$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 15c | 437.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 13c | 408.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 5c | 368.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 55c | 366.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 73c | 366.12$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 12c | 337.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…6096backed Yes | 12c | 335.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…badcbacked Yes | 34c | 331.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…52ddbacked Yes | 34c | 315.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…27b4backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…e030backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 4c | 276.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…c3ccbacked Yes | 30c | 266.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…4288backed Yes | 19c | 264$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 58c | 255.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…6db1backed No | 75c | 251$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…b3bdbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…00aabacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 34c | 250$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No won
- Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.