TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d74…ee45

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
258
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.1
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$921.93
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$154.08
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,580
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$279
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.7%+$897
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$370
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+71%+$41.92
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$170.17
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.33
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$112.65
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+170.3%+$494.63
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$67.26
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$370
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$710
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.4
35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$143.51
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.51
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.48
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+83%+$2,064.11
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$322.26
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.61
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.1%+$547.83
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$34.68
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36.29
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$164.99
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$707.41
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$267.29
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.4
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.76
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+160.7%+$655.27
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+162.4%+$635.35
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+473.5%+$7,907.16
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.24
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.62
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the National Party of Suriname win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$954.64
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$312
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-59.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,352.33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+152.5%+$256.64
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$919.16
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.81
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$460
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$506.38
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$600
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.69
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.81
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,078.33
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,967Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$1,001.38
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,789Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,789.24
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+87.1%+$190.4
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$191.7
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$78.44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+32.5%+$638.73
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?backed No Change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$80
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$321.92
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,845.71
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.46
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$217.46
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$32.6
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.71
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+1,937%+$194.94
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$1,179.89
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.57
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.06
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$155.19
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$112.33
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$84.76
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+48.9%+$517.29
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.4%+$463.78
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,355Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35%+$825.08
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+79.4%+$1,770
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$248.97
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13,783Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+30.2%+$4,166.18
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.16
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.82
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+231.9%+$1,582.12
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,778
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,100
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,180.26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$136.3
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58.48
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$700.74
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$368.22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,784Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$717.89
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+132.9%+$1,014.57
Israel strike on Iran on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.04
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$398
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.2
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.53
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$154.03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$68.79
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$118.61
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$245
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.62
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+220.9%+$717.95
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$291
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Ethereum all time high by August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will Solana dip to $140 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$98.01
Will Solana reach $170 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Will XRP reach $2.6 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$280
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$149.64
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$152
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+42.5%+$137.17
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+112.3%+$370.3
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Hey Now"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.2
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Money Trees"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+75.5%+$375.03
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+32.9%+$54.07
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$59.99
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$48.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$778
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.5
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$450.28
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$745
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paradex FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.01
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$679.6
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$58.81
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$464.78
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.9
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$130
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.36
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$138.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,864.88
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.99
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.01
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,430.85
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+53.3%+$3,448.98
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.27
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$340.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+83.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$832.22
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$1,204.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$501
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$452.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$40.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Woo Seung-min make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$604.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$72.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$221
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.