F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b60a04b67995800db4d8693fdb5de72e48bfd7ad61587011d64bcf4629e2dfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 36c | 16,856$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,737.31 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 55c | 10,897$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.78 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 37c | 8,607$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.96 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…4ac0backed Yes | 37c | 8,187$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 14c | 5,830$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.31 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 63c | 5,349$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.86 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 50c | 5,186$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 65c | 3,555$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.49 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,355$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…569fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,174$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 44c | 3,066$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.82 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…05d3backed Yes | 35c | 2,868$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 64c | 2,600$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 63c | 2,262$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.3 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,053$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 1c | 1,987$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 1,823$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.95 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 41c | 1,677$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.13 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 13c | 1,673$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.26 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…37e9backed Yes | 3c | 1,450$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,448$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.83 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 1,440$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 14c | 1,354$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,258$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…cd87backed Yes | 77c | 1,250$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 53c | 1,220$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 65c | 1,192$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Yes | 59c | 1,183$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 1,178$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 51c | 1,172$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.43 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 53c | 1,136$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.24 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 35c | 1,131$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 62c | 1,065$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…a944backed Yes | 2c | 1,030$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,019$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…465fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,015$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes | 57c | 880.65$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 50c | 864.22$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.43 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 4c | 856.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 12c | 831.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 48c | 823.19$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.48 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 67c | 730.17$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 41c | 715.5$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 16c | 700$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 37c | 682.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 42c | 659.13$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.96 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…25cabacked Yes | 56c | 620.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 4c | 618$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 34c | 593.53$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 59c | 590$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 34c | 585.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 33c | 568.65$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 55c | 560.6$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked No | 58c | 556.13$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 10c | 550$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 60c | 535.16$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed No | 42c | 527$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 50c | 519.61$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 39c | 501.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked No | 61c | 482.31$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 64c | 476.56$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed No | 58c | 474.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 466.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 52c | 463.53$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed No | 57c | 454.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…c73cbacked Yes | 33c | 453.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 451.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…3a06backed Yes | 49c | 449.33$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 15c | 445.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed No | 61c | 445.39$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e7…0169backed No | 49c | 434.33$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed No | 42c | 431.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed No | 60c | 430.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 34c | 426.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.29 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed No | 65c | 414.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Yes | 55c | 401.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…fcbcbacked Yes | 33c | 389.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…494dbacked Yes | 59c | 388.97$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 33c | 385.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 65c | 374.14$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes | 22c | 366.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 42c | 347.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 35c | 341.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes | 35c | 323.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed No | 47c | 318.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 318.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.03 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…af8bbacked No | 42c | 306.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5662backed Yes | 59c | 305.72$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed No | 59c | 302.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked No | 67c | 297.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Yes | 36c | 294.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.