TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x098e…6fa2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
762
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tweets, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT10665.1%69 W · 37 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$109.99
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.99
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$110
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.99
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+113.5%+$319
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.74
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$42.81
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.88
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$454.58
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$109
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$113
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$19.07
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times March 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.73
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$18.35
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$174.21
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$72.96
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+28.5%+$55.5
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$238.47
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+28.6%+$58.08
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+25.5%+$46.98
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$135.26
Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+32.5%+$71.63
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$252.59
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Jan 10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$22.24
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT7041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+249.1%+$400.17
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$145.77
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$122.79
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.78
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$690
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.7
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.12
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.65
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.39
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.46
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.92
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.1
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.64
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$740
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.15
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Karl-Anthony Towns be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6238.7%24 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.59
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+55%+$106.15
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+525%+$875.28
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.1
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+59.9%+$45.34
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Villarreal vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.86
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Will Real Madrid vs. Olympique Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will a club from France win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$531.95
Will Chelsea beat PSG?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.64
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+120.6%+$517.11
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.93
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.74
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.02
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT5437%20 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.6
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$590.52
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.11
Will the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?backed Smart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.14
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$95.58
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$347.38
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$117.5
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.8
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $33m and $37m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be $37m or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.86
Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5m and $7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.8
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40 and 50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.7
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$149.14
Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40.81
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4936.7%18 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.81
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$89.8
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.92
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+89.3%+$146.67
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$88.04
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.06
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$170.81
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$23.31
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$246.47
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.83
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.31
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.55
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.73
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$81.6
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+186.5%+$68.08
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.78
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$103.23
Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.0% on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+412.8%+$241.48
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will Trump say "George Washington" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.05
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.59
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+157.7%+$48.96
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.79
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.26
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.89
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+333.1%+$63.99
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.4
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$235.3
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.7
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$266.39
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$340
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.27
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34.41
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$58.99
Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.38
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.49
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45.37
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$20.06
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.69
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$134.13
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.2
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.55
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$329.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+426.3%+$83
Australian Open Women's: Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevicbacked Subasic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.56
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$31.91
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$136.63
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$341.34
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$33.21
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.78
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:2 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:1 against Carlos Alcaraz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Sinner – Over 40.5 Games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.93
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$354.7
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.3
Wimbledon Final – Will Swiatek win by 4+ games? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$140
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$95.92
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.95
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$93.6
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$247.35
Australian Open Final (M): Sinner vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+181.8%+$405.42
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+77%+$168.75
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.7
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+383.2%+$364.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+2,430.1%+$504.25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$75.6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.72
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.3
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+236.9%+$291.82
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$96.35
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$313
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.15
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+418.1%+$105.19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$78.81
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$98.4
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197.35
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.79
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$103.5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.24
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$103.2
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.51
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.36
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+157.4%+$122.3
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.21
Starmer out before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+339.1%+$62.78
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$26.95
Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Trump say "Canada" 7+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$30.72
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.12
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.38
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.46
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$411.92
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.35
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+82%+$57.21
Will Democrats win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.25
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.89
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60.33
Trudeau out before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27.14
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.89
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$91.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$104.89
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.55
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+313.3%+$272.89
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$167.58
Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$119.81
Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.86
Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.56
Plasma >$6B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.4
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+203%+$223.11
WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+99.4%+$255.14
WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.41
Linea airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.67
$PENGU market cap (FDV) <$1b one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+139.6%+$626.99
$PENGU market cap (FDV) $2-4b one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$123.21
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+31.4%+$13.14
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$59.13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+156.4%+$27.35
Will Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$145.66
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.66
Will 4 or more QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$39.11
Will 1 QB get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$20.68
Which conference wins the Super Bowl?backed AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.27
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+80.3%+$140.71
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$140.06
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$57.71
Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Will Sam Darnold win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Saquon Barkley win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.96
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+75.5%+$47.31
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$87.82
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$184.92
Will Josh Allen be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+27.6%+$6.27
Will Lamar Jackson be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$134.46
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.61
Will Robert Saleh be the first coach fired?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.92
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.62
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.35
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will Powell say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$47.15
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.2
Will Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Powell say "price" 15 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+100%+$32
Will Powell say "growth" 8 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.1
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$103.4
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+117.6%+$210.22
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+62.3%+$76.8
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$27.87
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$136.6
Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+178.2%+$76.23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$106.31
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$23.57
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+117.8%+$96.8
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$94.78
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to Advancebacked FC Red Bull Salzburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$117
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Team to Advancebacked Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$64.95
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$101.99
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$116.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Lazio win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
UEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)backed Man United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$231
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Rangers vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.15
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$24.96
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.24
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+39.9%+$126.54
Ajax vs. Union St.-Gilloisebacked Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+77.1%+$38.83
Will Slavia Praha beat Frankfurt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Tottenham beat AZ Alkmaar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$10.24
Will Ajax beat Qarabag?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+59.5%+$60.42
Will Manchester United beat Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.97
Will Twente beat Fenerbahce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will the match between Twente and Fenerbahce end in a Draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$37.92
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$126.05
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.21
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52.53
Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$14.3
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.66
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$77.7
Will Everett Wess be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.97
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.55
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.6
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate two times before election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$66.92
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate one time before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+34.6%+$59.64
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+100%+$27.5
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$12.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+110%+$80.16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$28.56
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.76
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+55%+$35.5
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+154.9%+$92.36
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$187.19
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+102%+$27.78
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.18
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+25%+$8.2
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+54.5%+$66.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.65
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.41
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.16
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.86
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.81
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.23
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$110.97
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+143.3%+$29.45
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$76.58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$45.73
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.85
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$27
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.09
Will average US gas price be $3.16 on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$109.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-83.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.81
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.76
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.52
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.52
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.78
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.74
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.4
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$95.46
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$446
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.95
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+106.6%+$47.86
Diddy convicted of a felony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$5.04
Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.57
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$77.7
Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40.18
Lana Del Rey pregnant in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+170.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,202.45
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.16
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.71
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+238.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+443.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-54.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+466.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+253.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+146.4%+$159.8
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+361.1%+$202.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NL West win the 2025 MLB World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$93.24
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+109.3%+$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$83.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 200 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.