TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Lamar Jackson be the top Fantasy Quarterback?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2137…0677backed Yes39c5,534$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.0220440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes9c3,879$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,53012843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes70c2,481$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.9512570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes54c1,603$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.883141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed No2c1,559$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.121809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98cb…bd72backed Yes20c1,550$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.492240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033d…af05backed Yes65c1,528$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.54650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef7…4206backed Yes10c1,500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a2…be38backed Yes75c1,444$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b85…6980backed Yes30c1,318$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.681330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No12c1,132$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.462544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.113740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…ec16backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16f…c2bbbacked No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b0…9184backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b7…68c8backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes48c972.82$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.213217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes61c930.82$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1916259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No19c831.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…538abacked Yes74c815.59$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.59837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+134.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a36…454bbacked Yes11c760$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6782152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+294.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xccdf…56cdbacked Yes10c750$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee3…1b0fbacked Yes9c700$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6372240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+88.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb14…26e8backed Yes70c674.38$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.951225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6115…2a89backed No40c650$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4476…3541backed Yes20c629.55$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.53633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed Yes9c591.11$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.236240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37016439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Yes7c493$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.424318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes60c484.43$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7741540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea6…6d01backed Yes31c467.46$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed No4c384.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11517.8%4 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3170…401fbacked Yes69c382.55$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes16c371.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.41749.5%7 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No25c358.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.728837.5%33 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…b767backed Yes45c354.27$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes27c325.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.763148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Yes17c314.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.913428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes23c310.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5910125.7%26 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Yes10c262.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.619022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006832.4%22 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa0…6382backed Yes35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes49c246.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9417248.3%83 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Yes42c237.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda2f…baccbacked No75c222.22$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.671729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc116…eb3fbacked Yes49c211$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x758e…2a0bbacked No51c211$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…b244backed No51c209$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…4253backed Yes49c209$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969c…4949backed Yes49c207$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56c…c6babacked No51c207$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a8…5814backed Yes49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…169abacked No51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes12c204.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.396844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8507…8a79backed Yes12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1764734%16 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f78…37b3backed Yes10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf863…82ccbacked Yes60c158.87$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes72c153.36$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.944551.1%23 W · 22 L+9.9wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+235.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe81f…5c9fbacked No73c150$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.131241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes27c149.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.498760.9%53 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a4…43e5backed Yes12c120.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+106.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1254…5738backed Yes13c115.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.381010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e4…c8abbacked Yes63c113$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972c…a88fbacked No31c110.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e09…3cb2backed No36c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No48c102.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.937546.7%35 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e26…cdf1backed Yes64c100.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.821070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x524b…0239backed No25c100.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe89…a0babacked No13c94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No31c88.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1112239.3%48 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes47c83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9918051.7%93 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce46…7cd9backed Yes72c81.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff0…9e36backed Yes58c80.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc513…d437backed No35c76.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0db…1c7bbacked No25c73.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes47c72.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.624351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c64…63d5backed Yes78c71.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67d…dd64backed No50c67.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b96…8c3ebacked Yes55c67.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9803…ef72backed No44c62.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c30…5a4abacked No54c56.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb304…8f76backed Yes56c55.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e6…0fdbbacked Yes53c54.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc5…2bdabacked No50c54.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d4f…9c9cbacked Yes53c53.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fa…1d1bbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dfd…e1d1backed No46c53.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x088d…2cbcbacked Yes73c53.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes21c50.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.894131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a3…0bbabacked Yes50c50.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e37…a21abacked Yes54c50.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf738…8b5dbacked Yes53c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…3883backed No30c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d0…f8e7backed No45c44.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd3…a643backed Yes76c42.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes58c41.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.123839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43c3…d08abacked Yes67c40.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52e1…7c36backed No29c40.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.