TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will C.J. Stroud be the top Fantasy Quarterback?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$641,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,460 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87ea…4992backed Yes0c68,180$68 inLost-$68.18110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ce…3811backed Yes0c68,180$68 inLost-$68.18120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8265…8b0cbacked Yes0c48,080$48 inLost-$48.08100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdadd…0177backed Yes0c48,080$48 inLost-$48.08110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f09…b474backed Yes0c40,200$40 inLost-$40.2130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1853…6a0bbacked Yes0c40,200$40 inLost-$40.2110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Yes0c20,100$20 inLost-$20.11216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0811…bd26backed Yes0c20,100$20 inLost-$20.1100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f95…cd99backed Yes0c20,100$20 inLost-$20.190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17b…dcffbacked Yes0c20,100$20 inLost-$20.1110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes0c20,100$20 inLost-$20.1128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes0c20,100$20 inLost-$20.11010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-86.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1716…ab6ebacked Yes0c20,100$20 inLost-$20.1100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f16…35e0backed Yes0c20,100$20 inLost-$20.1119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a00…ed53backed Yes0c16,320$16 inLost-$16.3290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c12,989$37 inLost-$36.742430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes7c3,477$241 inLost-$240.718960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes1c2,052$12 inLost-$1213217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes5c1,715$83 inLost-$83.041809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Yes7c1,708$120 inLost-$119.549022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes2c1,629$36 inLost-$35.8420440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef7…4206backed Yes11c1,500$170 inLost-$170825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes3c1,297$40 inLost-$403520%7 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0025…550cbacked Yes3c950$27 inLost-$26.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff4…64d7backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Yes8c312.5$25 inLost-$254355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Yes4c299.99$12 inLost-$124314%6 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd857…14afbacked Yes8c150$12 inLost-$1270%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Yes17c75.64$13 inLost-$1313428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.