TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Anthony Richardson be the top Fantasy Quarterback?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$706,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,347 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5a5…77e5backed Yes0c92,345$400 inLost-$399.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c9…e28cbacked Yes0c92,025$397 inLost-$39710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1263…fd23backed Yes0c90,690$396 inLost-$395.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df0…f855backed Yes0c78,200$349 inLost-$348.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4599…df8fbacked Yes0c68,500$274 inLost-$27410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7843…9eb5backed Yes0c11,375$46 inLost-$45.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc244…01d3backed Yes0c10,375$42 inLost-$41.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd4…241ebacked Yes0c9,750$39 inLost-$3930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa823…d437backed Yes0c9,125$37 inLost-$36.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a97…bc33backed Yes0c8,000$32 inLost-$3230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c7,488$19 inLost-$19.022430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes1c4,991$25 inLost-$2513217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Yes9c4,114$362 inLost-$361.779022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6570…5cc3backed Yes0c2,930$12 inLost-$11.7230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes8c2,650$213 inLost-$212.5749.5%7 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d9…dd01backed Yes12c2,285$274 inLost-$2742835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes1c2,224$23 inLost-$22.929724.7%24 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Yes6c1,531$98 inLost-$98.214318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef7…4206backed Yes7c1,448$108 inLost-$108.34825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes9c1,150$103 inLost-$103.431809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe13e…c564backed Yes13c730$95 inLost-$94.92339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe854…aa44backed Yes14c471.43$66 inLost-$6690%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost-$505341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1687…cfdcbacked Yes6c300$18 inLost-$18850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a36…454bbacked Yes6c294.99$18 inLost-$17.72152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+294.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Yes12c266.67$32 inLost-$32933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes11c250$28 inLost-$27.512934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc19a…b660backed Yes8c228.6$18 inLost-$18.29244.2%1 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.24per pick28cpaid-75.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$154314%6 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.