TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,484,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,561,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,484,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 865 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed No75c25,515$19,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,097.725753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db9…2823backed No10c10,450$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fe…5033backed Yes25c10,443$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,832.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed No10c8,943$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.921625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71fa…9ec4backed Yes32c8,879$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,044.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes35c8,171$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,331.4239449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked No20c7,739$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.054447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No13c7,110$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.6249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes29c6,551$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.7522750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6622…d7a9backed Yes20c5,798$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.511471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+60.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x46e6…ed5ebacked No7c5,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c3…a7b6backed Yes35c4,908$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,185.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32b…b319backed No6c4,150$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed No75c4,097$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.951040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f27…c1b3backed No6c3,940$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes30c3,934$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.0122243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f7…11bbbacked No6c3,767$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffdc…0cf1backed No68c3,733$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8c…a19ebacked No6c3,717$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42cf…162bbacked No6c3,715$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick4cpaid+800.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9d…da5dbacked No5c3,680$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097b…1e48backed No7c3,645$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5970…8ecfbacked No6c3,642$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+754.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca2…28a3backed No6c3,618$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c48…11cbbacked No8c3,340$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No17c3,304$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.0317233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes53c3,189$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.7140133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7993…2c78backed No7c3,166$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…4c76backed No7c3,151$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69af…80eabacked No68c3,081$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a3…a4a8backed No8c3,026$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes24c3,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No7c2,940$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.397041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No3c2,867$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1717941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8c…b8f2backed No7c2,858$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x291c…05f8backed No7c2,714$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd967…4e69backed No7c2,625$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes73c2,486$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.371,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ca…c87ebacked No7c2,471$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ee…b670backed No7c2,464$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf685…ccbebacked No5c2,460$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6102…fcfcbacked No7c2,443$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No20c2,425$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.778853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeca…7126backed No7c2,381$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No15c2,380$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced0…33c2backed No7c2,352$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No2c2,263$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7710735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…14e4backed No5c2,257$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789e…f23cbacked No6c2,245$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4840%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…31f7backed No6c2,215$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13d…e60ebacked No6c2,215$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…af5ebacked No7c2,211$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf311…a0c2backed No6c2,205$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626d…24e2backed No6c2,205$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5273…69f5backed Yes27c2,176$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.516663.6%42 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb28e…3371backed No6c2,175$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d6…b009backed No6c2,175$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07c…0f39backed No6c2,170$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0380%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…4c02backed No6c2,170$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…bb96backed No6c2,166$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc448…0d03backed No6c2,166$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd944…fe60backed No6c2,155$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16b…2507backed No6c2,155$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…3a80backed No5c2,142$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.53812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick4cpaid+363%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…716ebacked No7c2,139$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034e…f53dbacked No6c2,120$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ee…7306backed No6c2,120$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d6…f172backed No6c2,114$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…6fb9backed No7c2,112$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6535…32f5backed No6c2,095$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e47…6606backed No6c2,095$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a07…fd20backed No5c2,093$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…e04cbacked No6c2,075$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e26…bd63backed No7c2,075$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e9…ef05backed No68c2,065$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x082b…4a7dbacked No7c2,059$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8d57backed No7c2,046$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4950…db09backed No6c2,041$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+1,182.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…c7bfbacked No6c2,041$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd617…2420backed No6c2,026$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4329…8d83backed No6c2,026$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12b…288ebacked No5c2,024$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked No12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24019432%62 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Yes24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52011547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530f…0c8dbacked No6c1,987$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5702…3cc6backed No6c1,976$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x653f…532bbacked No5c1,964$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…cfc4backed No7c1,958$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc6…67d1backed No6c1,957$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf654…d618backed No7c1,921$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b87…c5abbacked No6c1,917$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…8aedbacked No6c1,917$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.19520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0e…de47backed No7c1,910$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d5…ad7dbacked No6c1,905$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eaa…d1cdbacked No6c1,896$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b3…20e2backed No6c1,896$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…d6d5backed No7c1,891$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…dde2backed No7c1,874$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0719…7925backed No7c1,858$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ae…1f84backed No7c1,840$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.