NBA · resolved market

Will Donovan Clingan win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f8c3d57bc6e02b6052d5ddfe61531f29b2a9351d9a73628c3d92fdb3c7fb27

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $576,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,619 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x14b8…02bcbacked Yes	0c	28,250$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf04…dce0backed Yes	0c	14,210$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23a7…aa64backed Yes	0c	14,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd70a…baf2backed Yes	0c	14,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad42…905ebacked Yes	0c	14,190$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac7…f4eebacked Yes	0c	14,190$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66cb…c4ecbacked Yes	0c	14,170$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ab…9471backed Yes	0c	14,160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a5…3531backed Yes	0c	14,160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x619a…2bdcbacked Yes	0c	14,150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb419…1228backed Yes	0c	14,140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	12	25%3 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf3…a634backed Yes	0c	14,130$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c8a…d59dbacked Yes	0c	14,130$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7cf…884cbacked Yes	0c	14,120$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea03…d73abacked Yes	0c	14,110$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.11	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…3f78backed Yes	0c	14,110$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.11	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18af…365ebacked Yes	0c	14,110$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe3…dfbebacked Yes	0c	14,070$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7191…9a72backed Yes	0c	14,070$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7dd…8533backed Yes	0c	14,060$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11b…e2c3backed Yes	0c	14,040$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb4e…0e29backed Yes	0c	14,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3d…d901backed Yes	0c	14,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f9…1dbfbacked Yes	0c	14,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…0035backed Yes	0c	13,880$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf553…bb03backed Yes	0c	13,200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca2…76a7backed Yes	0c	13,130$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb8…d231backed Yes	0c	13,100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…f009backed Yes	0c	13,030$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67a4…bb6bbacked Yes	0c	12,120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2365…9dd5backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8abe…a8a2backed Yes	0c	11,110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32f5…fac1backed Yes	0c	10,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6685…5ef6backed Yes	0c	10,200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c07…dc98backed Yes	0c	10,150$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fe…6b61backed Yes	0c	5,354$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.94	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa909…6badbacked Yes	0c	4,997$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	3cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes	0c	4,284$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fa…9a8cbacked Yes	0c	3,927$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7e…71b7backed Yes	0c	3,570$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6225…5eb6backed Yes	0c	3,213$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.85	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bd…b49fbacked Yes	0c	2,856$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.42	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Donovan Clingan win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event