NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8246b715242536356d2938f90df8b50271fcf6d7586495249e2e9f75a1101981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,241,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,256,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,241,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder | 67c | 738,877$495,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495,047.58 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs | 48c | 714,556$341,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372,891.78 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Spurs | 33c | 600,000$198,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402,000 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 46c | 519,520$240,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279,436.7 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 30c | 505,555$154,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351,388.48 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs | 38c | 497,378$190,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307,266.91 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 68c | 487,628$333,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333,296.87 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Spurs | 31c | 322,581$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,580.65 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 69c | 322,418$222,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222,244.47 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x971a…447dbacked Spurs | 33c | 284,451$93,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,582.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Thunder | 70c | 283,145$198,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,201.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 49c | 281,679$137,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,501 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 25c | 259,560$63,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,969.88 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Spurs | 31c | 254,297$80,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,200.6 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Thunder | 67c | 254,138$170,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,272.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Thunder | 51c | 231,173$118,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,374.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +255.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Spurs | 80c | 228,594$181,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,785.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs | 31c | 225,027$68,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,065.35 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Thunder | 45c | 150,000$67,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,249.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 67c | 149,999$100,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,499.53 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Spurs | 33c | 126,353$41,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,399.91 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 60c | 119,232$72,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,081.08 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 42c | 116,367$48,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,592.01 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 66c | 115,651$76,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,710.64 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Spurs | 40c | 100,940$39,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,953.56 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Thunder | 57c | 100,758$57,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,423.53 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs | 32c | 100,000$31,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,332.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs | 34c | 98,458$33,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,158.16 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Thunder | 68c | 79,752$54,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,231.36 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 68c | 74,481$50,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,421.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Spurs | 50c | 74,464$37,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,325.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Thunder | 68c | 73,529$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Thunder | 68c | 73,529$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Thunder | 67c | 68,040$45,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,586.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 9c | 66,454$5,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.94 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Thunder | 68c | 65,773$44,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,644.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Spurs | 39c | 63,580$24,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,600.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Spurs | 33c | 60,485$19,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,524.85 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Thunder | 67c | 60,169$40,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,414.85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 68c | 59,591$40,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,273.42 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Thunder | 67c | 58,000$38,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,860 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Spurs | 33c | 57,430$18,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,748.34 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Spurs | 57c | 56,945$32,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,664.93 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Spurs | 30c | 56,785$17,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,725.23 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 67c | 51,877$34,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,915.45 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Thunder | 38c | 50,804$19,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,305.48 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 46c | 50,455$23,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,410.96 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Thunder | 67c | 50,000$33,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,500 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Spurs | 58c | 47,239$27,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,014.03 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 67c | 45,121$30,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,432.58 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Thunder | 67c | 44,328$29,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,832.34 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Spurs | 32c | 43,148$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,148.15 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spurs | 31c | 41,147$12,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,267.8 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 60c | 40,995$24,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,607.34 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…0e18backed Thunder | 68c | 40,774$27,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,726.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 67c | 37,561$25,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,166.16 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Thunder | 59c | 36,348$21,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,445.19 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 56c | 34,291$19,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,152.02 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…a3febacked Spurs | 68c | 33,941$22,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,975.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Spurs | 55c | 30,000$16,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,621.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.82 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 67c | 29,790$19,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,959.29 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…56ecbacked Thunder | 57c | 29,459$16,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,675.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba6…ae0cbacked Spurs | 69c | 28,782$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Thunder | 67c | 27,944$18,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,654.93 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 67c | 27,797$18,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,623.99 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Spurs | 38c | 27,100$10,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,825.97 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Spurs | 40c | 25,706$10,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,378.22 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder | 1c | 25,615$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Spurs | 32c | 25,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Thunder | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Spurs | 32c | 24,732$7,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,824.23 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Thunder | 45c | 23,320$10,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,583.79 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Thunder | 63c | 23,168$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Spurs | 33c | 22,082$7,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,797.12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Thunder | 45c | 22,047$9,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,978.37 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Spurs | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Thunder | 25c | 20,000$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.82 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Spurs | 64c | 19,968$12,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,126.51 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Spurs | 33c | 19,613$6,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,140.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spurs | 79c | 19,118$15,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.85 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 31c | 18,997$5,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.83 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…45c3backed Spurs | 69c | 18,270$12,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,722.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Spurs | 42c | 18,010$7,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,426.9 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 46c | 17,998$8,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,333.51 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Spurs | 49c | 17,700$8,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,023.37 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…2c2cbacked Thunder | 68c | 17,546$11,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,931.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 42c | 16,716$7,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,688.67 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Spurs | 36c | 16,505$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,520.35 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Thunder | 42c | 16,443$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,975.3 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Spurs | 67c | 16,006$10,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,237.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Spurs | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 60c | 15,993$9,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,531.75 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Thunder | 68c | 15,555$10,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,577.4 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 59c | 15,460$9,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,168.6 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 58c | 14,866$8,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.43 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Thunder | 40c | 14,765$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.