TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c5,929$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.8369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over56c4,840$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.3652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c4,711$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.011,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c4,542$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c4,214$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.5864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under40c4,041$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.416743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Under40c3,358$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.0612741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c2,433$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over32c2,272$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.6236243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under37c1,916$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.95657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over60c1,873$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.9466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under53c1,512$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.426636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under39c1,459$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5661,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Over63c1,270$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.843450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over63c1,079$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under50c1,033$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.5311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over12c1,008$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.122,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c997.73$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.551,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under40c950.87$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3519954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over36c946.01$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.2831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over11c886.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.0325150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over60c712$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over63c552.34$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.346956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over58c548$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.882650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under36c540.59$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over63c515.87$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.873164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over60c510.18$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9727549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Over20c500.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.44146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.824159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over62c484.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1313757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c460$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c451.73$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c442.16$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.61,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under37c420$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1623652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under43c347.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.581,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff3…6d83backed Over60c344.45$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.782055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under44c339.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.64734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over61c328$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over60c327$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.83265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c321.69$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under68c299.15$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.67342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over63c279.37$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.379558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under38c237.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over60c225$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.78637.2%32 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…7f9bbacked Over30c199.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over53c192.81$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.312065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1243…5c5fbacked Under41c167.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2170%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c162.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under60c154$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6624936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under60c154$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under50c142$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7153945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over61c124.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over17c120.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a8…9c50backed Over39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.818735.8%67 W · 120 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under41c113.56$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over11c113.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under36c111.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5185449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Over12c110.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.946946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over50c110.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1314237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over47c106.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5510843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under42c104.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over63c102$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7461253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under55c100.26$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0921849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under43c99.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9310746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under50c98.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4520247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e90…a79ebacked Over64c94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Under50c88.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.342638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Over35c85.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.367549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.755048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over55c81.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.625554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under38c72.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x465b…1419backed Over58c65.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over67c65.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3721574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Over62c64.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.131080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over17c59.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.491,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under50c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under55c58.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.076334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over61c55.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7411347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under42c54.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1710743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over60c52.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.755971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c50.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under40c50.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e88…697dbacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216633.3%22 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c6e…c234backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under42c49.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.978843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1853…888fbacked Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Over63c46.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.072958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed Under41c41.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Over42c40.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.