TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs53c13,551$7,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,367.9469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs49c9,717$4,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Thunder66c8,820$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x089f…fe64backed Thunder48c8,304$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Thunder53c6,567$3,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.6538143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs36c4,379$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder63c2,385$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.2164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder39c1,944$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs34c1,911$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.9472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Thunder42c1,900$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7982,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs35c1,694$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.8366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Thunder53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79512741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Thunder54c1,425$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.3655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs34c1,400$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Thunder47c1,350$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Thunder45c1,233$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9912652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder65c1,227$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Spurs34c1,126$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.031,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs55c1,125$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.071,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Thunder49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs43c920$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder31c846.71$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder38c821.22$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs53c758$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder33c637.22$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder14c633.73$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.661,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs52c623.08$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0862948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Spurs36c615.68$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.684037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Spurs48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31210244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Spurs39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.823464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Thunder63c511.5$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.697852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Spurs37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31513128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0706…f25dbacked Spurs61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.81080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Thunder63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Spurs35c460$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Thunder64c454.99$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.25846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Thunder9c454$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Thunder11c419.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs36c312.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.661,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f3…73e6backed Thunder29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875016%8 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Thunder63c290.97$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3114959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs39c282.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0513153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs36c267.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.151,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Thunder58c258.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011250%56 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs65c257$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Spurs39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4153539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Thunder19c254.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Thunder9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Thunder62c246$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5254951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Thunder57c245.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Thunder66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Thunder62c215.96$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8211258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Thunder63c211.11$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Thunder52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.23647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Thunder61c193.72$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Thunder53c186.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Thunder53c185.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.222751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcc6…095fbacked Spurs38c177$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7410545.7%48 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Thunder42c176.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.247356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder37c165$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Spurs36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.897342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Spurs62c111.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3521849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Spurs49c101.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0710743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder61c100.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Thunder22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2244821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Spurs45c99.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.410746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Thunder63c98.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Spurs65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3113560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e2…e307backed Thunder29c91.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Thunder26c91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs52c87.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.241,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs38c79.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5940548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…514cbacked Thunder63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Thunder66c75.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Thunder29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6134255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Thunder65c74.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked Thunder62c72.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder41c70.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs52c69.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x580a…8e1cbacked Thunder30c65.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-79%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Spurs36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5615846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Spurs55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5523143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Spurs38c53.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Spurs38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Thunder61c50.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1796956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc020…5edbbacked Spurs53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Spurs47c49.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.458843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x898a…499abacked Spurs57c49.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Thunder56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.445937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Spurs41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7811232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Thunder41c47.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Thunder33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x879b…a5dfbacked Thunder64c42.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Spurs58c41.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6519445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Spurs52c41.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.089438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Spurs73c41.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.