NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf507bdd573cc02468db860030931c4b97bfbc2e6f23da2f36edb79c5b6c10a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 53c | 13,551$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,367.94 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 49c | 9,717$4,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.89 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Thunder | 66c | 8,820$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…fe64backed Thunder | 48c | 8,304$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 53c | 6,567$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.65 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 36c | 4,379$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 63c | 2,385$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.21 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 39c | 1,944$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 34c | 1,911$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.94 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 35c | 1,694$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.83 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,425$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.36 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Thunder | 47c | 1,350$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Thunder | 45c | 1,233$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 65c | 1,227$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Spurs | 34c | 1,126$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.03 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,125$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.07 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 43c | 920$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.4 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 31c | 846.71$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.51 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 38c | 821.22$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.74 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 53c | 758$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.57 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 33c | 637.22$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 14c | 633.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 52c | 623.08$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.08 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Spurs | 36c | 615.68$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.68 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Spurs | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Spurs | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Thunder | 63c | 511.5$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.69 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Spurs | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…f25dbacked Spurs | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Thunder | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 35c | 460$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Thunder | 64c | 454.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Thunder | 9c | 454$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Thunder | 11c | 419.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 36c | 312.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f3…73e6backed Thunder | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Thunder | 63c | 290.97$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 36c | 267.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…1b16backed Thunder | 58c | 258.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 65c | 257$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thunder | 19c | 254.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Thunder | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Thunder | 62c | 246$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Thunder | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Thunder | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Thunder | 62c | 215.96$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Thunder | 63c | 211.11$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Thunder | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Spurs | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 61c | 193.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Thunder | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…e3c9backed Thunder | 53c | 185.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Spurs | 38c | 177$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Thunder | 42c | 176.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thunder | 37c | 165$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Spurs | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Spurs | 62c | 111.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Spurs | 49c | 101.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 61c | 100.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Thunder | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Spurs | 45c | 99.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Thunder | 63c | 98.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Spurs | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Thunder | 29c | 91.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Thunder | 26c | 91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 52c | 87.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 38c | 79.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…514cbacked Thunder | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Thunder | 66c | 75.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Thunder | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Thunder | 65c | 74.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked Thunder | 62c | 72.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 41c | 70.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs | 52c | 69.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580a…8e1cbacked Thunder | 30c | 65.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -79%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Spurs | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Spurs | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Spurs | 38c | 53.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Spurs | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Thunder | 61c | 50.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…5edbbacked Spurs | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Spurs | 47c | 49.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Spurs | 57c | 49.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Thunder | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Spurs | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Thunder | 41c | 47.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Thunder | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Thunder | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Spurs | 58c | 41.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Spurs | 52c | 41.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Spurs | 73c | 41.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.