TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc020…5edb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT22954.6%125 W · 104 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 229 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.92
Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.92
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.23
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.92
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.77
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.09
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.07
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.22
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+34%+$5.43
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.23
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.88
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 229 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.5
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.99
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
All 15 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.