MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c7e12393a3bc0c30e00e14d25977757e399eaf1f9c6f75a5d28bec999388806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $627,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 212,765$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.51 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 41,812$22,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,671.8 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 40,386$21,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,980.9 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 34,346$18,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,984.86 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 18,685$9,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,843.66 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 17,738$8,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,337.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 11,489$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,514.51 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 11,313$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.11 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 9,420$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.65 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 8,126$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.58 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 7,353$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.1 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 7,256$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.26 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 6,564$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.33 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,170$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.6 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 4,010$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.63 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 3,800$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 3,669$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.5 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,302$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.89 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 9c | 3,229$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,113$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.12 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 3,041$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.33 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 2,505$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 2,420$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 2,236$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.38 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,040$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.43 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 4c | 2,005$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 1,939$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.05 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,794$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.85 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,692$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.55 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 1,613$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 1,525$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.56 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,517$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.54 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,414$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.58 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,413$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.72 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.94 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…db26backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,268$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.4 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.88 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,159$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.47 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,019$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,003$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Seattle Mariners | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 961.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 888$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 875.81$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.83 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 814.6$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.61 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -14.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 780.97$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 678.97$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.57 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 668.85$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.33 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 637.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 620$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 599.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 593.24$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Seattle Mariners | 4c | 591$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 575$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.53 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 182 | 52.2%95 W · 87 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 486.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.17 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 464$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 434$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 431.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…f6e8backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 403$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 353.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 336.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 328.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 324.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.18 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 322.88$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 318.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 311.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 294$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 287.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 260.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 260.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 258.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 233.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 224.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 210.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 209.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.