TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers52c25,905$13,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,467.2210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox55c12,064$6,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,635.181,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Texas Rangers45c11,901$5,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,545.3371650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox55c11,135$6,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.313,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago White Sox56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers58c6,307$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.2911,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox26c6,274$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.778,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers65c5,374$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.934,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…f5e6backed Chicago White Sox0c4,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago White Sox55c3,640$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00269453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Chicago White Sox55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Chicago White Sox55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9934942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago White Sox6c3,514$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7125248.8%123 W · 129 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox20c2,588$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.8695045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e68…3772backed Chicago White Sox3c2,500$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3224947%117 W · 132 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox20c2,169$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.698,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers64c2,058$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.342,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Texas Rangers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1008739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Texas Rangers44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12017150.3%86 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago White Sox56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022c…5ef0backed Chicago White Sox56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Chicago White Sox3c1,752$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox41c1,714$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.744,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox56c1,626$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.8489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Texas Rangers44c1,592$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.641,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Texas Rangers69c1,533$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1631957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers44c1,259$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.166,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Texas Rangers67c1,131$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4343459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Texas Rangers45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.9919534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Chicago White Sox23c1,051$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6885645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox33c1,023$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.489,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Texas Rangers61c1,021$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.441,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Texas Rangers44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Texas Rangers44c959$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.046043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago White Sox55c930.9$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51255653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Texas Rangers58c868.35$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.294472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb1d…e511backed Texas Rangers77c776.96$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Chicago White Sox14c720.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010625.5%27 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked Chicago White Sox46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers69c539.49$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox33c504.92$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7779442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Chicago White Sox43c500$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21628753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x027a…5da8backed Chicago White Sox22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Texas Rangers44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Chicago White Sox55c496.97$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4228751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Texas Rangers45c454.47$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9656253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Texas Rangers44c426.13$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.634560%27 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago White Sox41c410.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed Chicago White Sox56c389.29$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2183847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Texas Rangers45c361$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5544953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ac…0269backed Chicago White Sox26c358.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Chicago White Sox56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021955.3%121 W · 98 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dd…df82backed Chicago White Sox23c354$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4212035%42 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Chicago White Sox56c296.96$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.31,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Texas Rangers45c267.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1958943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Chicago White Sox29c260$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.827231.3%85 W · 187 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Texas Rangers44c249.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9924246.7%113 W · 129 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Chicago White Sox34c240$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.630529.8%91 W · 214 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Chicago White Sox55c221.82$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a9…0f04backed Chicago White Sox56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox7c206.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.452,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers46c205$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.73,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Chicago White Sox56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11231549.2%155 W · 160 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Texas Rangers47c199$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.471,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59dd…e944backed Texas Rangers68c197.55$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f8b…37c8backed Texas Rangers68c190.26$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.889570.5%67 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox20c188.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.172,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Chicago White Sox55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Chicago White Sox55c181.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9916552.7%87 W · 78 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Texas Rangers53c181.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2247852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Chicago White Sox56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014452.8%76 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Chicago White Sox56c178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6811258%65 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago White Sox41c175.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8847358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed Texas Rangers45c173$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.151040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Chicago White Sox41c172.51$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.731,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers64c171$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e14…95d4backed Texas Rangers45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Texas Rangers70c152.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Texas Rangers44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Texas Rangers75c134.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.385148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Texas Rangers55c129.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4358060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Chicago White Sox56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Chicago White Sox56c122$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3211548.7%56 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers66c117.34$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.818,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb0…5760backed Chicago White Sox56c110$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32f…4f71backed Texas Rangers46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Chicago White Sox56c108$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.485453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b7…9f1fbacked Texas Rangers68c106.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.232864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Texas Rangers45c106.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.831,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0926…6721backed Chicago White Sox33c106.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.982133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Chicago White Sox56c102.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2561346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Texas Rangers76c102.14$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3958746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Chicago White Sox32c101$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3221323.5%50 W · 163 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Texas Rangers44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Chicago White Sox55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ac5…57a0backed Texas Rangers76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Texas Rangers45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Texas Rangers45c98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.927348%131 W · 142 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.