MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1396b63d631825a947017bd543799bd4e61bd55fa17e9f1251f57b1341acbc55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Athletics | 42c | 99,448$41,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,768.37 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 42c | 12,272$5,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,173.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Athletics | 0c | 11,537$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 39c | 6,772$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 6,728$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.9 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…f5e6backed Athletics | 0c | 5,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.98 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Athletics | 1c | 3,344$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,747$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.21 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 7c | 2,265$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Athletics | 43c | 2,255$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.76 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Athletics | 42c | 1,871$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Athletics | 38c | 1,736$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.7 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…1db4backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 43c | 1,518$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.84 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,393$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,365$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,346$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.38 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics | 14c | 1,236$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Athletics | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Athletics | 18c | 1,190$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,091$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.07 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,040$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 999$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 940$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 924.14$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.25 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 899$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 839.74$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 693.9$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c817backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 562.95$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Athletics | 7c | 552.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5439…c45bbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 536.71$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 536.6$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Athletics | 23c | 520.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Athletics | 40c | 506.3$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Athletics | 11c | 488$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Athletics | 41c | 488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9c…fb0abacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Athletics | 40c | 460$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 400.65$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Athletics | 24c | 395$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Athletics | 41c | 390.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 381$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletics | 40c | 331.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.73 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 43c | 239$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 233.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Athletics | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 228$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Athletics | 41c | 212.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Athletics | 41c | 210$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Athletics | 17c | 171$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 167.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Athletics | 42c | 166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Athletics | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 151.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics | 26c | 134.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Athletics | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Athletics | 43c | 126.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Athletics | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Athletics | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 107$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 105.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…8d08backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 103.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Athletics | 40c | 102.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Athletics | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Athletics | 41c | 102$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Athletics | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 94.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 20c | 92.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Athletics | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…4f71backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…bb62backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Athletics | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Athletics | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Athletics | 43c | 79.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…26b3backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 78.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Athletics | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 76.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Athletics | 38c | 73.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Athletics | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Athletics | 24c | 68.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-5.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-7.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.