MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e502edfb1cc5838cfd7fed57938aaf11b2b290fb1e0c1ce651a7bfee773d8f7

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $117,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,805 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under	44c	84,067$36,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,641.82	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	57c	33,333$19,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,333.19	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	56c	33,068$18,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,596.9	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	55c	17,806$9,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,053.08	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Under	44c	3,409$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	54c	2,883$1,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,334.96	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175	326	52.5%171 W · 155 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	46c	2,048$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.08	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under	43c	2,020$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.6	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	47c	1,898$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.06	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	56c	1,874$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.56	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	56c	1,810$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.96	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	37c	1,654$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.17	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over	56c	1,500$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over	56c	1,200$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.95	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	40c	1,188$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.41	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	57c	1,179$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.82	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	53c	1,067$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.49	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Under	44c	1,058$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.73	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	57c	1,034$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.09	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	56c	800$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	45c	779.99$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Over	56c	600$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over	56c	580.58$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.49	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	26c	505.39$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.75	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over	56c	486.95$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.26	220	50.5%111 W · 109 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under	46c	385.9$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.71	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	380.39$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.56	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over	56c	373.51$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.91	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under	59c	300$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	-8.1wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba63…4883backed Under	36c	274.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	55c	267.44$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.35	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under	43c	186.44$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.17	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	47c	179.45$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.32	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Under	48c	175$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	54c	155.07$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.08	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	56c	153.07$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.98	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under	47c	150$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	143	28.7%41 W · 102 L	-11.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	47c	148.33$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.15	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	48c	142.5$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over	56c	125$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Under	44c	111.11$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.89	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	51c	111.08$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.98	780	52.2%407 W · 373 L	+22.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	56c	104.95$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.18	403	41.4%167 W · 236 L	-20.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	39c	104.77$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.91	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	141	61%86 W · 55 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Under	47c	89.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.13	293	50.9%149 W · 144 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under	38c	83.04$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.73	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under	43c	80$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	46c	80$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	1,804	53.8%970 W · 834 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	46c	80$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	487	51.5%251 W · 236 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	55c	72.32$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.54	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	59c	69.08$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.45	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Under	44c	62.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	44c	61.95$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.07	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	32c	58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	1,814	49.1%891 W · 923 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Over	57c	51.72$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.24	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	55c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.75	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Over	56c	49.39$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.73	195	55.9%109 W · 86 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	45c	40.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Over	56c	38.93$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.13	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	56c	37.77$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	412	49.5%204 W · 208 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Over	56c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	100	52%52 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under	44c	35.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	45c	33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.15	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed Under	55c	33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	99	60.6%60 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	50c	31.9$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+23.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under	48c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Under	45c	29.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	341	49.3%168 W · 173 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	48c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	882	47.7%421 W · 461 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8683…56c7backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07b4…6855backed Under	56c	26.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	141	49.6%70 W · 71 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55fb…188abacked Under	44c	26.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe646…6e5bbacked Under	54c	25.93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Over	55c	25.26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.26	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked Under	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.20per pick	54cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over	76c	19.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.75	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4f…5ec9backed Over	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	52	67.3%35 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over	71c	16.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.68	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over	75c	14.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.51	424	51.9%220 W · 204 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
Minnesota Twins vs. AthleticsMinnesota Twins won
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-5.5)Athletics won
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-7.5)Athletics won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. AthleticsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event