MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2c328f5620f6f181ca8cf5578656f6b47cccfadf51c3ecf10cd95f15be75c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Cincinnati Reds, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 83,883$67,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,072.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 52,564$29,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,150.79 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 44,382$19,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,121.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 23,327$7,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,511.48 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 21,644$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,123.71 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 18,872$7,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,014.68 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 16,666$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,943.99 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 11,875$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,224.98 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 10,150$6,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,968.53 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 9,676$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.76 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…f906backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 8,964$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 7,639$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.24 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.99 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 6,510$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.4 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 6,032$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.86 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 5,810$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.36 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,528$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.6 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,366$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,351$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.63 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 5,120$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.72 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 4,906$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.81 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…2351backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,274$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.07 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,941$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.94 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 3,218$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.4 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 3,103$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.38 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,956$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.64 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 2,901$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.74 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 2,329$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.12 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…ec0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 2,211$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 2,058$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,048$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.12 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 1,900$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.61 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 1,818$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 1,683$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 1,493$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,490$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.5 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,489$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.09 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 1,185$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,163$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.35 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,124$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…5da8backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 1,100$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,099$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.42 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,077$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.54 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,020$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.46 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 995.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 960$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 831$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 800.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 791.65$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.34 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 746.57$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.49 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 720.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.35 | 201 | 61.2%123 W · 78 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 654.08$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.52 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 651.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 649.71$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.37 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 638.91$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 626.36$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 619.26$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.41 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 599$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.56 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 527.05$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 525.69$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 508$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 503$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.55 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 498.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 497.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.31 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 489.66$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 474.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.7 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 426.13$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 423.92$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 393.44$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 392$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 382.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 372.03$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 350.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 349.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 334.87$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 313$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 275.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 275$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 274$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 270$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 266.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 262.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 262.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.