TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians61c77,777$47,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,333.031,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies32c60,986$19,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,768.3210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies23c19,650$4,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,461.9511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Colorado Rockies7c17,041$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.8785645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Colorado Rockies25c13,700$3,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,424.997352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Colorado Rockies39c12,552$4,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.443154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies8c11,122$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.868,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians77c10,307$7,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.872,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…c9a7backed Colorado Rockies21c8,208$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.374641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians61c7,050$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.923,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Colorado Rockies39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies39c3,826$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.334,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians61c3,283$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.3769453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Colorado Rockies39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Colorado Rockies35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05013355.6%74 W · 59 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians75c2,221$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.984,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Colorado Rockies1c1,970$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.95852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Colorado Rockies39c1,810$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.8919534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies20c1,698$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.948,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Colorado Rockies20c1,458$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1924252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies38c1,239$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.141,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies39c1,091$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.351,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rockies39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Cleveland Guardians61c984.9$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1128751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians79c927.5$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.29,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians61c913.78$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.661,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Colorado Rockies39c881$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.596043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians60c853.38$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.216,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…245ebacked Cleveland Guardians61c800.54$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.214362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Cleveland Guardians75c710$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.540043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe963…6753backed Colorado Rockies39c694.21$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.746341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies20c623.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.464,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians75c578.91$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Cleveland Guardians61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.834255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa936…feb3backed Cleveland Guardians64c446.84$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.312466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Colorado Rockies12c443.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.934952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies39c416$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.242,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Colorado Rockies17c357.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9379955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Colorado Rockies20c355.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.361,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Colorado Rockies40c312.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12522055.5%122 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Colorado Rockies19c300.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1979442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Colorado Rockies40c297$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.827448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians78c294.65$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Colorado Rockies15c277.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2460348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa448…3046backed Cleveland Guardians61c275.17$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.323557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Colorado Rockies39c254.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3658352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Colorado Rockies40c241.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6179543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Colorado Rockies20c209.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1456435.1%198 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Cleveland Guardians75c203$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.755750.9%29 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cleveland Guardians61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7911346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Colorado Rockies39c197.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Cleveland Guardians65c185.05$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9125447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies39c184.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Cleveland Guardians61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9327357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Cleveland Guardians61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9316552.7%87 W · 78 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Cleveland Guardians61c163$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5711258%65 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Cleveland Guardians62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Colorado Rockies39c149.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.544750.6%226 W · 221 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc401…ce26backed Colorado Rockies8c149$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies39c141.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cleveland Guardians60c136.39$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies11c126.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.832,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137f…968dbacked Colorado Rockies40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016943.2%73 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Colorado Rockies40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014452.8%76 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Colorado Rockies40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Colorado Rockies41c94.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Colorado Rockies37c90$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32f…4f71backed Cleveland Guardians61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Cleveland Guardians61c81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.599949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Colorado Rockies40c77.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Colorado Rockies40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021343.2%92 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Colorado Rockies34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.77445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Colorado Rockies40c69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Colorado Rockies19c67.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9740048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e3…31c9backed Cleveland Guardians76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7910169.3%70 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Cleveland Guardians57c62.32$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.884049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Cleveland Guardians76c60.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3931957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed Colorado Rockies37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.230928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Colorado Rockies19c54.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56021.7%13 W · 47 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Colorado Rockies39c53.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7878854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82e2…ec75backed Colorado Rockies39c51.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0112249.2%60 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Colorado Rockies40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2073243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Cleveland Guardians62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1910756.1%60 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Cleveland Guardians60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…7398backed Colorado Rockies39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.565542.4%278 W · 377 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Colorado Rockies43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.528640.9%117 W · 169 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Colorado Rockies24c43.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Cleveland Guardians61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9858649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…0b95backed Cleveland Guardians61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cab…63a0backed Colorado Rockies39c40.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.724641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c16…e71abacked Colorado Rockies38c40.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Cleveland Guardians80c38.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7147852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Cleveland Guardians62c36.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8915340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Colorado Rockies39c34.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.371,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.