TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b7e…0b95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$5.64
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$3.1
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$8.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.6
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$6.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$9.77
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$23.1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.62
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Darya Astakhova vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wangbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Firebacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.