Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ce7a682b4a897155e107b4ed0532248c0c0c73e185429d562efd89d900a860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 19c | 31,859$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.03 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 19c | 5,776$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.81 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 17c | 5,245$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 19c | 4,572$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.43 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 17c | 2,668$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 10c | 2,315$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 80c | 1,883$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.5 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 20c | 1,513$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 20c | 1,458$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.66 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 17c | 576$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked No | 19c | 484.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…2b25backed No | 18c | 475$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 80c | 427.31$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 17c | 356$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd623…e35fbacked No | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 15c | 345.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 18c | 323.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 20c | 289.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 17c | 288.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…adb4backed No | 19c | 141.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…4b28backed Yes | 80c | 124.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed No | 19c | 109.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 13c | 109.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 79c | 69.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 21c | 66.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed Yes | 80c | 65.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…0ab3backed Yes | 80c | 54.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Yes | 80c | 53.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 79c | 44.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…1fa5backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…968fbacked Yes | 80c | 37.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed Yes | 80c | 37.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…50a2backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3446…b449backed Yes | 79c | 31.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 80c | 30.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…eeb2backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…dfacbacked Yes | 80c | 24.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Yes | 80c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…b303backed Yes | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +231.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 80c | 20.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…0b95backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 80c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 80c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 80c | 14.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb199…5721backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.