Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599ea6499b7b07d4ed48a3fe85b5d07b64881de359d4cbe715e2cc1b6d3b1cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 11c | 1,442$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 3c | 599.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…8f7abacked No | 73c | 489.09$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 442.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 26c | 410.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 79c | 379.44$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 37c | 323.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 65c | 304.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 19c | 294.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 275.24$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 9c | 257.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 31c | 233.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 231.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 24c | 199.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 175.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 34c | 170.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…5673backed Yes | 11c | 164.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 35c | 162.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 34c | 156.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 154.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 28c | 148.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 13c | 141.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 35c | 140.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 138.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 77c | 135.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 63c | 131.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 31c | 124.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 31c | 117.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 115.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 75c | 113.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 71c | 113$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 26c | 112.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…b3c3backed Yes | 28c | 111.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 74c | 110.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 27c | 102.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 18c | 95.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 29c | 89.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 27c | 84.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…9014backed Yes | 30c | 77.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 76c | 75.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 74c | 71.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 27c | 70.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…9d77backed Yes | 28c | 69.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 28c | 69.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 25c | 68.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed Yes | 28c | 68.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 75c | 66.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 29c | 65.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 72c | 64.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 74c | 64.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 66c | 64.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 76c | 63.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 33c | 62.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…eaaebacked Yes | 38c | 61.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…0c75backed Yes | 31c | 60.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 26c | 59.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 59.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 24c | 57.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e95…b147backed Yes | 33c | 56.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 28c | 56.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 74c | 54.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed No | 66c | 54.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…368ebacked No | 74c | 54.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 34c | 53.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 73c | 53.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 67c | 50.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 70c | 49.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 74c | 49.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 74c | 48.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…9aeebacked Yes | 25c | 47.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 72c | 47.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 30c | 46.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 73c | 44.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed No | 75c | 41.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…7bb8backed No | 71c | 40.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…7136backed Yes | 35c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 78c | 40.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 76c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed No | 66c | 36.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…c629backed No | 75c | 35.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 34.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 74c | 33.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Yes | 34c | 33.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 28.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 39c | 28.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 71c | 27.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 66c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed No | 75c | 23.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 69 | 81.2%56 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f08…de33backed No | 68c | 22.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 74c | 22.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…0489backed No | 76c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…ebdcbacked No | 71c | 21.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 64 | 81.3%52 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.