South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x902ae1f20d73023274cc0f17dde075529623dee8f37560c500b5d8b19644c2e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 19c | 13,522$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.95 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.97 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 37c | 9,277$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.33 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 7,101$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.54 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 22c | 5,798$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.33 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 5,153$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.41 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 4,034$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.2 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 2,596$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.39 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 2,084$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.64 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 74c | 2,073$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.62 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 38c | 1,838$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 216 | 38.4%83 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 61c | 1,769$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.75 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 40c | 1,747$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,711$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.18 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 2c | 1,477$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 76c | 1,388$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.38 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 20c | 1,252$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,239$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.87 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,230$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 27c | 1,103$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.69 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 21c | 932.84$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 915.8$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.93 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 62c | 842$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 18c | 796.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 66c | 777.32$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.1 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 746.08$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.73 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 65c | 732.56$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 20c | 716.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed No | 66c | 668.63$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 36c | 625.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.52 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 30c | 599.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 32c | 593.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 533.53$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 31c | 524.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 505$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 9c | 496.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 64c | 470.11$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.87 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 48c | 429.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.78 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 38c | 377.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 21c | 356.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 33c | 351.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes | 17c | 320$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 38c | 302.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 42c | 300.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 67c | 298.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…4fdcbacked Yes | 38c | 272.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 11c | 268$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 68c | 228.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 225.44$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 60c | 221.88$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 27c | 219.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 24c | 213.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 20c | 206$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 22c | 204.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa59…d4cebacked Yes | 38c | 182.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 175.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 175.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 38c | 175$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 33c | 168.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 161.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 63c | 151.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 150.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 145.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 39c | 143$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 140.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 137.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 76c | 132.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 63c | 124.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 11c | 122.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 22c | 120.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 79c | 115.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 113.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 112.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 59c | 92.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Yes | 38c | 88.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 83.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 32c | 80.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 17c | 79.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed No | 64c | 78.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked Yes | 46c | 70.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 62c | 64.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 56c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b9…1ac3backed No | 56c | 60.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.