South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef52b14da2b4dc57b1714385195956934b48d167f8e0b5de66a53d0a7617ce93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 75c | 5,760$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.62 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 5,141$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.71 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 4,624$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.93 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 43c | 4,283$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.91 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 34c | 3,371$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.91 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 45c | 2,941$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.82 | 216 | 38.4%83 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 27c | 2,596$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.88 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 47c | 2,376$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.52 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 47c | 2,175$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed Yes | 13c | 2,107$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 2,098$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.04 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,097$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.92 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 1,906$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.21 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 1,880$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.01 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 55c | 1,799$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.62 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked No | 62c | 1,514$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.86 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 1,498$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.64 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 65c | 1,405$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.29 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,252$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.71 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 2c | 1,219$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 12c | 1,218$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.94 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 51c | 1,071$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.86 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 9c | 843$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.45 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 67c | 637.14$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 5c | 548.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 62c | 526.55$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 489.82$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 488$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.72 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 40c | 449.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 34c | 439.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.7 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Yes | 35c | 425.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 49c | 409.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 8c | 391.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 16c | 376$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.1 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 74c | 374.26$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.71 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 5c | 374.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 60c | 361.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 62c | 355.79$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.53 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Yes | 79c | 355.31$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 339.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.71 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 17c | 312.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.87 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 310.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.73 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 10c | 301$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 11c | 284$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 68c | 275.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 47c | 270.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 31c | 262$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 255.17$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 16c | 241.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 27c | 185$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 77c | 169.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 22c | 163.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 63c | 159.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 44c | 159.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 39c | 159.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 54c | 155.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 47c | 143.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 74c | 135.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 68c | 133.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 48c | 129.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…47c5backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 29c | 120.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 18c | 119.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 33c | 119.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 39c | 116.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 44c | 110.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 61c | 107.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 72c | 103.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 20c | 92.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 17c | 91.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 23c | 89.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 85.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 23c | 82.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 76c | 80.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Yes | 26c | 75.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 70c | 68.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…fbe0backed Yes | 73c | 68.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 42c | 68.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 66c | 64.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 37c | 61.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 44c | 60.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked Yes | 30c | 58.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 67c | 53.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 64c | 52.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 61c | 49.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 44c | 45.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 49c | 41.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 37.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.