MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4556c5743eddd10c19e64f4d50bfe5abb1877165da419465bc8a56d7d3694ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Arizona Diamondbacks, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $670,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $691,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0954…1e1bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 364,485$145,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,794.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 138,656$84,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,075.68 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 100,769$60,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,307.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 90,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 64,103$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 25,600$15,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,240 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 24,500$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 19,052$11,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.81 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…35acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 19,010$7,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,413.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 16,230$9,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,492.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 16,227$9,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.81 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 11,705$7,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.21 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 9,900$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 9,794$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 8,836$6,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 8,091$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 6,261$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.29 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,913$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.05 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 5,210$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.39 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,760$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.55 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,422$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.78 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,050$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,025$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,906$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.61 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…61febacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,904$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,874$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.46 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 1,741$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.49 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,557$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.9 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,521$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.84 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,483$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.2 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,102$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.96 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,055$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.98 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 77c | 1,006$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 979.5$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.8 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 942.57$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.03 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 920.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 904.9$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 902.18$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.87 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 888.95$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 886$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 833.33$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 832.66$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.57 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 774.19$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 757.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 641.03$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 620$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.37 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 617.58$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 592$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 540.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 532.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 467.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 464.57$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 403$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 352.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…9c69backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 347$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 299.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 298.61$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 271.22$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 271$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 265.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…8f35backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 230.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 194.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 192.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 191.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 190$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 189.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 185$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 184.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 14.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.