TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7626…8f35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$211.08
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.12
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$69.3
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$111.19
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$102.3
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$75.29
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$48.01
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.19
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.43
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+191.6%+$52.42
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+184%+$193.23
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+231.2%+$195.69
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.95
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+176.1%+$61.95
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+242.9%+$94.96
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$20.88
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.98
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.24
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.89
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.62
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.66
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$31.71
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$53.47
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$64.11
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$57.73
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+299.4%+$42.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$38.88
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$13.19
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+135.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$3.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$43.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.