MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad64a42584abc3ad0a7958e553b9a82e68a96b72daf0d0290ecac118263a3b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof San Francisco Giants, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 32,067$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.7 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 30,769$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,769.23 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 15,000$5,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 8,604$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.4 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 8,395$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.1 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 6,431$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.39 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 6,243$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.82 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 3,213$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 2,931$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.96 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 2,766$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.41 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…7b48backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,758$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…235cbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 2,365$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 2,300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…630dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,060$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 1,845$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.88 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 1,103$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.14 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 1,061$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.03 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 1,056$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 959.79$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.93 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 949.78$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.42 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 745.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 575$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 556.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 493$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 476.1$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 328$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 305$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 288$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 272.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 269$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 264.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 253.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 247.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 243.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…0de6backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked San Francisco Giants | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 224.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 197.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 175.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 166.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…8f35backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 151.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 134.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…359dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 134.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 133.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 96.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 89.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 88.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…906abacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 76.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 76.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 73.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…4a81backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 65.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 64.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 64.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…cfc6backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…f755backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…f577backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 55.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 52.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 52.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 50.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f6dfbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 40.9%117 W · 169 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 47.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…0b95backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 43.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eeb…30fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 37.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 34.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.