TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeca…0de6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+39.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$124.9
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$52
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$399.47
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$52.65
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$94.86
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$43.93
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$125.08
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Julieta Parejabacked Julieta Pareja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69%+$1,026.46
Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Taggerbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.88
ITF Gentofte: Linea Bajraliu vs Lucia Cortez Llorcabacked Linea Bajraliu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$22.48
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$267.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$32.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Jaffna Kingsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.