Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Julieta Pareja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x461f2c9b158f061deb9bb15b1eeb4584028222fdc2ac871685afc13feebdf9a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julieta Parejaof Heather Watson, Julieta Pareja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Heather Watson | 48c | 35,671$17,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,241.48 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julieta Pareja | 52c | 32,217$16,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,565.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Heather Watson | 39c | 14,524$5,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,734.24 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Heather Watson | 34c | 14,436$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Heather Watson | 43c | 12,962$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.52 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Heather Watson | 39c | 12,644$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Julieta Pareja | 62c | 9,280$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.96 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Heather Watson | 37c | 8,656$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.23 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Julieta Pareja | 66c | 7,044$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.25 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Julieta Pareja | 74c | 6,826$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.31 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heather Watson | 44c | 6,126$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.5 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Julieta Pareja | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julieta Pareja | 56c | 5,964$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heather Watson | 46c | 5,867$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.82 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Julieta Pareja | 60c | 5,176$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.22 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Julieta Pareja | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Heather Watson | 47c | 4,486$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.81 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…56efbacked Heather Watson | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Julieta Pareja | 68c | 3,629$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.65 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Julieta Pareja | 54c | 3,343$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebc…063ebacked Heather Watson | 29c | 2,832$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Julieta Pareja | 14c | 2,801$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.2 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…0de6backed Julieta Pareja | 59c | 2,514$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Heather Watson | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Julieta Pareja | 62c | 1,987$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.78 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Heather Watson | 44c | 1,798$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heather Watson | 27c | 1,504$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Heather Watson | 43c | 1,279$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Heather Watson | 43c | 1,276$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.93 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heather Watson | 64c | 1,261$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.39 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Heather Watson | 47c | 1,241$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Julieta Pareja | 65c | 1,180$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Heather Watson | 45c | 1,104$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Julieta Pareja | 18c | 1,085$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.66 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Heather Watson | 23c | 1,060$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Heather Watson | 45c | 1,059$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.55 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Heather Watson | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Heather Watson | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Julieta Pareja | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Heather Watson | 40c | 999.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Heather Watson | 40c | 975.61$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.24 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Julieta Pareja | 56c | 894.82$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.39 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Julieta Pareja | 53c | 886.34$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.05 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Heather Watson | 22c | 833.39$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Julieta Pareja | 69c | 822$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Julieta Pareja | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julieta Pareja | 52c | 751.6$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.06 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Julieta Pareja | 41c | 700.2$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.92 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Heather Watson | 45c | 673.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Julieta Pareja | 59c | 652.55$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Heather Watson | 47c | 645.82$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Heather Watson | 46c | 621.3$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Heather Watson | 54c | 519.9$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Heather Watson | 9c | 502.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Julieta Pareja | 68c | 499.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Julieta Pareja | 67c | 489.47$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Julieta Pareja | 54c | 485.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.49 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Heather Watson | 31c | 482.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Heather Watson | 44c | 480$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Heather Watson | 41c | 458$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Julieta Pareja | 76c | 442.22$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed Heather Watson | 70c | 429.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Heather Watson | 29c | 405.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Julieta Pareja | 63c | 367.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.76 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Heather Watson | 66c | 346.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.21 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Heather Watson | 43c | 333$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Heather Watson | 40c | 322.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Julieta Pareja | 16c | 314.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Julieta Pareja | 16c | 313.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.22 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Julieta Pareja | 56c | 310$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Heather Watson | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Julieta Pareja | 56c | 299.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Heather Watson | 48c | 289.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Julieta Pareja | 70c | 287.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Julieta Pareja | 54c | 280.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Heather Watson | 26c | 273.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Heather Watson | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Heather Watson | 69c | 269.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Heather Watson | 47c | 266$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Heather Watson | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Heather Watson | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…ff48backed Heather Watson | 43c | 232.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Heather Watson | 30c | 228.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Heather Watson | 25c | 224.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Julieta Pareja | 56c | 222.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Heather Watson | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Heather Watson | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Heather Watson | 44c | 201.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Julieta Pareja | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heather Watson | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Heather Watson | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Heather Watson | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Julieta Pareja | 78c | 198$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Heather Watson | 56c | 195.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Julieta Pareja | 57c | 195.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Heather Watson | 45c | 192.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Julieta Pareja | 64c | 188.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Heather Watson | 41c | 187$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Julieta Pareja | 74c | 181.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Heather Watson | 23c | 178.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Julieta Parejathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Watson vs ParejaPareja won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.