TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x187a…a22b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT5038%19 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberec: Guido Justo vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,229.69
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25,838Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$19,785.73
Los Cabos Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23,646Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12,179.91
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$14,693.24
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$8,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,658
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,893Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7,252.19
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,857
ITF Saskatoon: Ariana Arseneault vs Teah Chavezbacked Teah Chavez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$3,422.14
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smithbacked Alana Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2,987.01
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+614.4%+$33,165.04
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Julieta Parejabacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,574.52
Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Toby Samuelbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$812.93
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolfbacked J.J. Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,765
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$2,256.49
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$7,195.37
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,764Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+424.5%+$24,469.88
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,114.67
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457.55
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecaibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.64
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,874.33
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,752.03
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,155
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,922Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$7,231.58
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,907.8
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$8,191.55
New York Liberty vs. Portland Firebacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,934
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$9,659.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,681.39
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25,456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$31,112.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,773
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,901.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.