Tennis · resolved market
Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ea8489f85572c4de3915edd598bd8d1d63148cbef745fcff3478c6522af8cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Yu-Hsiou Hsu, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 9c | 30,204$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 10,393$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.4 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 12c | 6,957$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.93 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 9c | 3,484$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 17c | 2,448$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.07 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 12c | 1,743$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 8c | 1,100$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0d…8e47backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 11c | 936.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 15c | 820$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 805.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 9c | 727.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 9c | 699.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 685.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Toby Samuel | 79c | 627.24$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 542.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…95bbbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 9c | 497.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 17c | 487.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 10c | 450$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 18c | 337.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 8c | 286.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 9c | 278.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 18c | 275.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 7c | 266.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…75a8backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 11c | 233.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 18c | 224.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 16c | 222.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 11c | 218.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 12c | 200.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 11c | 170.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…147fbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 13c | 137.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 16c | 135.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 17c | 133.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 17c | 110.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 18c | 108.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 11c | 107.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 17c | 99.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…84fbbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 14c | 90.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…a69bbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 14c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4820backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 19c | 57.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.