WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655262e104dbc321c15f2b12b4e009938edfd25f6606cff42677aeccbfaaf144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Portland Fire | 29c | 92,209$26,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,957.24 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 71c | 46,430$33,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,330.1 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Liberty | 65c | 24,891$16,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,693.5 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 74c | 23,874$17,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.84 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Portland Fire | 38c | 18,334$6,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,934 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Liberty | 71c | 8,732$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.96 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Portland Fire | 22c | 6,602$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Portland Fire | 17c | 6,445$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.67 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked New York Liberty | 76c | 6,060$4,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.64 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Portland Fire | 26c | 5,953$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Portland Fire | 21c | 4,619$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed New York Liberty | 67c | 3,804$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Portland Fire | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 2,510$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.86 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed New York Liberty | 74c | 2,487$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Liberty | 61c | 2,398$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.08 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed New York Liberty | 67c | 2,380$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Portland Fire | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Portland Fire | 3c | 2,280$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Portland Fire | 22c | 2,205$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Portland Fire | 6c | 2,132$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Portland Fire | 17c | 1,763$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Portland Fire | 16c | 1,682$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.09 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 67c | 1,660$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.16 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Portland Fire | 1c | 1,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…0e51backed Portland Fire | 7c | 1,525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed New York Liberty | 66c | 1,517$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.78 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed New York Liberty | 67c | 1,472$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Liberty | 75c | 1,377$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.17 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Portland Fire | 14c | 1,370$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 74c | 1,362$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…a1babacked Portland Fire | 17c | 1,317$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Portland Fire | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Liberty | 66c | 1,194$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.69 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Portland Fire | 14c | 1,130$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed New York Liberty | 72c | 1,105$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…4e82backed Portland Fire | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Portland Fire | 15c | 999.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed New York Liberty | 72c | 858.52$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Liberty | 62c | 766.45$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.56 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Portland Fire | 15c | 764.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Portland Fire | 27c | 719.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Liberty | 79c | 699.99$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 690.81$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.23 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked New York Liberty | 76c | 690.25$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Portland Fire | 15c | 672.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland Fire | 28c | 627.15$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Portland Fire | 2c | 599.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Portland Fire | 8c | 584.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdba…e7a2backed Portland Fire | 28c | 578.26$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Portland Fire | 18c | 558.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Portland Fire | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed Portland Fire | 21c | 484.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Portland Fire | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…fa16backed Portland Fire | 18c | 455.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Portland Fire | 16c | 419.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed New York Liberty | 68c | 418.42$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Portland Fire | 33c | 417$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Portland Fire | 31c | 407.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed New York Liberty | 66c | 374.04$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Portland Fire | 30c | 369.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Portland Fire | 17c | 350.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Portland Fire | 17c | 350.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Portland Fire | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Portland Fire | 14c | 349.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Portland Fire | 21c | 347.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Portland Fire | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed New York Liberty | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Portland Fire | 18c | 273.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed New York Liberty | 74c | 260.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Portland Fire | 19c | 252.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Portland Fire | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed New York Liberty | 78c | 249.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Portland Fire | 15c | 239.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Portland Fire | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Liberty | 76c | 216.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Portland Fire | 24c | 205.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked New York Liberty | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Portland Fire | 16c | 199.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked New York Liberty | 80c | 194.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Portland Fire | 14c | 182.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Portland Fire | 18c | 182.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Portland Fire | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…c843backed Portland Fire | 12c | 159.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…e042backed Portland Fire | 36c | 151.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…8597backed New York Liberty | 67c | 148.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…a6d6backed Portland Fire | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked New York Liberty | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Portland Fire | 20c | 141$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…564bbacked Portland Fire | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Portland Fire | 27c | 137.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Portland Fire | 38c | 125.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed New York Liberty | 80c | 125.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…dfaabacked Portland Fire | 27c | 120.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Liberty | 76c | 118.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…888fbacked Portland Fire | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed New York Liberty | 78c | 114.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed New York Liberty | 71c | 113.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Portland Fire | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c8…d919backed Portland Fire | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Portland Firethis page
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.