TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c92…4e7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Trevor Svajdabacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,268.5
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+30%+$6,292.16
Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Brasov: Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
ITF Claremont: Alyssa Ahn vs Salma Ewingbacked Salma Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Piracicaba: Lucas Da Silva vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuelbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Bad Homburg Open: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Masamichi Imamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Nottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Belluccibacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Asuncion 2: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Matias Sotobacked Johan Alexander Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Skybacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Washington Mystics vs. New York Libertybacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Feverbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,663.63
New York Liberty vs. Portland Firebacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,708.05
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,418.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,064.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,380.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,827.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.