TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Jan Choinski

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gustavo Heideof Gustavo Heide, Jan Choinski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4698…d7a5backed Gustavo Heide69c5,644$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.853655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jan Choinski36c4,829$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.618,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Jan Choinski21c4,700$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9787625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jan Choinski26c3,460$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.24,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Gustavo Heide58c3,166$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.943,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gustavo Heide66c3,080$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.528,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jan Choinski41c3,001$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.744,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gustavo Heide34c3,000$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.639,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jan Choinski42c2,478$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.5411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Jan Choinski19c2,051$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6657321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Gustavo Heide57c1,725$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.1921046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Gustavo Heide72c1,717$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.415,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Jan Choinski39c1,446$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.6537421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Gustavo Heide63c1,317$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.0445737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Gustavo Heide66c1,271$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.972,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Jan Choinski54c1,236$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.692,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Jan Choinski42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gustavo Heide64c1,103$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.864,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Gustavo Heide61c1,078$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.044,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Gustavo Heide77c1,068$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.683,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Jan Choinski39c1,030$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.733438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jan Choinski50c796.01$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.486,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Gustavo Heide62c795.55$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4648440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Jan Choinski60c669.68$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011130.6%34 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gustavo Heide51c547.45$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.642,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Gustavo Heide48c536.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2351457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Gustavo Heide62c509.16$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5310540%42 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Gustavo Heide57c504.61$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.139340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gustavo Heide35c500$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.474,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Gustavo Heide60c477$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.824856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Jan Choinski51c444.16$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1185449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Jan Choinski39c440.54$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.11,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Jan Choinski39c440.16$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.282,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Gustavo Heide75c430.65$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0847651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Jan Choinski18c379.61$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3319410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Jan Choinski20c313.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7288935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Gustavo Heide63c307$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.591,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca09…511bbacked Jan Choinski39c278.25$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.573342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Jan Choinski35c274.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Gustavo Heide75c268.36$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.099425.5%24 W · 70 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabad…80b1backed Jan Choinski33c263.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed Gustavo Heide57c245$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3511955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jan Choinski37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Gustavo Heide63c205.42$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.061,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jan Choinski31c204.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.961,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gustavo Heide70c203.83$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.946,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Jan Choinski25c201.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Jan Choinski32c175.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.31,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Jan Choinski26c173$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9856744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Jan Choinski56c171.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9652341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a11…84cbbacked Jan Choinski46c165.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765964.4%38 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Jan Choinski60c164.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.021,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcad…1d64backed Gustavo Heide63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Jan Choinski43c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.921,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Gustavo Heide42c145.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.592,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Jan Choinski22c145.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4568430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Jan Choinski23c138$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.744,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695c…35dfbacked Jan Choinski44c133.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.831758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Gustavo Heide32c132.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2946957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Gustavo Heide58c132.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9413966.2%92 W · 47 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d95…e33abacked Jan Choinski57c131.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Gustavo Heide58c127.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.031,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jan Choinski51c116.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.756,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Gustavo Heide39c112.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8228348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jan Choinski42c112.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.161,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Jan Choinski37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.745744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Gustavo Heide43c107.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Jan Choinski28c105$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8843750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Gustavo Heide44c103.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.951,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e8…9826backed Jan Choinski20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204938.8%19 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+52.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Gustavo Heide68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb5…ea33backed Gustavo Heide80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201866.7%12 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c92…4e7cbacked Jan Choinski17c99.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174751.1%24 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Gustavo Heide64c97.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8621964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf074…13e5backed Jan Choinski20c97.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.452429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Gustavo Heide66c94.88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4516469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Jan Choinski37c93.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Jan Choinski44c92.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.669832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Jan Choinski56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1157…8e4dbacked Jan Choinski57c87.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e5…d1f0backed Jan Choinski23c85.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.785639.3%22 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Jan Choinski46c82.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2554…bb52backed Jan Choinski23c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.49754.6%53 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1112…90dbbacked Jan Choinski39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jan Choinski40c74.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Jan Choinski40c74.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.871,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Jan Choinski37c72.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Jan Choinski46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Gustavo Heide70c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed Jan Choinski41c69.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5720552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Jan Choinski46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Jan Choinski27c58.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7512538.4%48 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Jan Choinski33c57.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.781,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Gustavo Heide78c53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.562,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8113…22cbbacked Jan Choinski21c51.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.722231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Gustavo Heide48c50.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.162,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf767…ebb1backed Gustavo Heide56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224055%22 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e2…c81fbacked Jan Choinski41c46.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198762.1%54 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e4…7cd0backed Jan Choinski42c45.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Jan Choinski41c42.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5991051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.