TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6bb…a47f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tweets, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT6767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Yexin Ma vs Erika Andreevabacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Celine Naef vs Joanna Garlandbacked Celine Naef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Alexandra Shubladzebacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Linda Klimovicovabacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Daniella Brittonbacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Greet Minnen vs Fiona Ferrobacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymerbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.41
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Johannus Monday vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$25.83
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Ivan Ivanovbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Abedallah Shelbayhbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dublin: Henry Searle vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNallybacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Poznan: Facundo Acosta vs Florian Broskabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Dublin: Grigor Dimitrov vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Poznan: Martin Krumich vs Alan Waznybacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Royan: Philip Henning vs Gerard Campana Leebacked Philip Henning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$18.18
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3174.2%23 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$31.78
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Türkiye to score first vs. Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Son Heungmin: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$12.63
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$5.05
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+385.9%+$77.18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$42.82
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$23.77
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$21.01
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+184.9%+$73.96
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$29.42
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$53.37
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.