Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea78af5d4964e9f2681c6c2c822ba10738b73e937e9ec58638e4d62d375d764

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $797,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $400,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,008 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	3c	30,111$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.49	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	0c	29,989$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	2c	28,645$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.15	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	22,440$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfed…3d4fbacked Yes	0c	22,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	0c	20,348$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.33	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	1c	15,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	14,468$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.13	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	13,918$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.3	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	13,246$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.92	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	0c	12,241$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	11,887$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	10,385$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.76	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	10,115$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.43	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	10,000$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.83	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	1c	9,954$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.77	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	8,827$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	8,526$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.96	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	0c	7,900$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	0c	7,868$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.74	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	7,558$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	0c	7,506$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a9…f3ebbacked Yes	0c	7,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	2c	7,047$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.89	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	7,010$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.57	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	8c	6,668$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.61	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	12c	6,611$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.06	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	1c	6,239$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	6,165$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.65	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	5,555$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	0c	5,544$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	1c	5,222$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.08	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	5,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes	1c	4,711$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.37	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	4,192$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.7	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,840$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	2c	3,620$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.36	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	1c	3,509$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	3,503$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.33	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	3,382$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.75	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	79c	3,328$2,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.68	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	14c	3,243$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.02	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	10c	3,141$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.63	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	5c	2,937$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.78	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d22ebacked Yes	2c	2,841$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.63	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	22c	2,725$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.91	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	21c	2,443$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.98	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	2,381$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…22a4backed Yes	2c	2,321$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	6c	2,234$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.84	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	2,156$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,134$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	11c	2,028$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.14	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	4c	1,912$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.82	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	1,879$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.57	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04f5…71e9backed Yes	1c	1,748$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	1,711$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.62	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	3c	1,544$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	1c	1,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	9c	1,498$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.03	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,422$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.28	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	1,419$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	22c	1,409$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	21c	1,385$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.75	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	21c	1,368$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.24	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	1c	1,317$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.13	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	1c	1,269$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf114…8003backed Yes	6c	1,190$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.25	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Yes	1c	1,158$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	1,142$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.04	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	3c	1,141$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50f3…c137backed Yes	11c	1,130$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf042…3a87backed Yes	18c	1,123$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.48	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed No	77c	1,116$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	1c	1,108$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45be…ab8abacked Yes	2c	1,097$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	199	30.2%60 W · 139 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	4c	1,074$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.3	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	9c	1,018$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	1c	1,004$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	3c	1,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	2c	1,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0650…37e5backed Yes	20c	999.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	20c	992.47$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	13c	968.49$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.1	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	2c	965.52$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Yes	10c	952.32$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.82	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	4c	933.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	1c	920$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac6…f53fbacked Yes	5c	920$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f7…0867backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36ec…5a0dbacked Yes	2c	892.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	140	31.4%44 W · 96 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	7c	864.56$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.41	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	2c	864.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2f…d133backed Yes	1c	809.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	808.71$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.72	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	6c	800$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event