Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70fa045b98d9734799e56d19f2847ed03fcaa00783a2282279ee945e77460f8

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $478,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $397,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,665 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	46,052$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.25	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	0c	19,414$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	47c	18,232$8,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,639.12	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	0c	13,134$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	67c	12,538$8,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,452.29	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	1c	7,150$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	45c	5,987$2,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,695.06	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	59c	5,948$3,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500.64	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	52c	5,721$2,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,974.7	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	43c	5,617$2,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,196.38	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	56c	5,303$2,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,978.23	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	57c	5,225$2,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,234.15	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	21c	5,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.98	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed No	71c	4,877$3,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,437.57	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6efa…2947backed Yes	1c	4,244$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	76c	4,234$3,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,018.51	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked No	46c	4,186$1,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,273.26	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	34c	4,142$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,426.05	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	61c	4,136$2,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,514.24	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	12c	4,071$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.78	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	1c	3,922$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	29c	3,787$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.65	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	20c	3,348$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.8	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	45c	3,266$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,471.27	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes	21c	3,203$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.04	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	58c	3,030$1,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760.62	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	40c	3,009$1,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,795.35	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	51c	2,761$1,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.35	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	44c	2,744$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.69	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	53c	2,502$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.66	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	68c	2,403$1,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.52	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	49c	2,333$1,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.84	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	21c	2,256$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.66	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	65c	2,176$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.61	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	56c	2,138$1,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,204.58	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	41c	2,096$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.85	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	20c	2,050$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.5	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	2,038$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.06	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…6906backed Yes	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c17…ab38backed Yes	39c	1,977$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	47c	1,830$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.63	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	1,822$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed Yes	55c	1,806$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.83	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65ab…273dbacked Yes	56c	1,720$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.12	204	32.4%66 W · 138 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	42c	1,705$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.33	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	57c	1,650$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.69	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	60c	1,640$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.98	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	50c	1,623$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.05	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked No	18c	1,600$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	10c	1,595$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.19	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	31c	1,564$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.95	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	46c	1,546$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$834.93	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,540$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb749…cd19backed Yes	67c	1,502$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	45c	1,502$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.08	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	52c	1,500$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.99	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked No	44c	1,418$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.77	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	63c	1,400$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.99	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	53c	1,380$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.44	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	61c	1,340$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.08	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9da…aa1cbacked Yes	45c	1,334$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No	47c	1,319$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.78	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3b…6b17backed Yes	11c	1,295$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.72	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No	34c	1,207$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.13	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	47c	1,200$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.99	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	30c	1,173$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.02	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes	69c	1,159$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	59c	1,128$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.67	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646c…dff9backed Yes	1c	1,118$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	24c	1,117$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.72	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	61c	1,116$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.97	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	34c	1,110$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.97	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	53c	1,074$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.5	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	39c	1,072$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	54c	1,067$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.54	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	55c	1,043$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.9	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0650…37e5backed Yes	22c	1,040$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.8	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…3684backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed No	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	59c	975.65$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.4	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	967.94$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.56	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	52c	967.69$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.3	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	32c	942.36$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd8f…6131backed Yes	60c	921.16$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.99	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	62c	872.11$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.2	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe396…dce1backed No	40c	853.73$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.9	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	48c	850$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.5	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	33c	823.3$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.31	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c6f…c9a0backed Yes	57c	819.98$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.19	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	36c	807.82$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.24	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	36c	800$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.93	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	31c	786.42$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.91	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Yes	75c	781.04$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	77cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes	60c	762.32$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.99	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	32c	757.23$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	58c	730.39$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.99	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	61c	711.43$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.58	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	27c	700$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event