Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd78e258cfc6acc805cbb92911a4a7e27f4fd2eacc629bca265a0ca475bd02cd

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $386,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $246,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	15c	15,279$2,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,313.07	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	14,811$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.2	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	0c	11,628$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	10,544$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.15	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	12c	8,857$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.11	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	7c	8,791$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.42	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	12c	6,576$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	8c	6,192$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.52	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	12c	6,000$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.91	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	18c	5,675$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.17	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	4,900$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	14c	4,250$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	3c	4,201$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.58	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	4,195$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.03	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	18c	3,919$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.73	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	12c	3,652$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.09	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…319dbacked Yes	8c	2,782$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	2,676$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.19	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	2,655$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.08	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	7c	2,648$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.38	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	21c	2,638$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.13	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	2,520$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.86	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	12c	2,355$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.11	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	12c	2,300$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.9	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes	11c	2,230$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.25	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	12c	2,141$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.4	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	15c	2,134$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.92	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	6c	2,100$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.02	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	10c	2,086$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	19c	2,077$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.44	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	11c	2,071$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.06	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	18c	2,011$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.54	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	8c	2,007$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.64	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.91	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c17…ab38backed Yes	19c	1,970$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.32	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes	18c	1,970$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.17	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	1,953$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.55	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	7c	1,939$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.13	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	11c	1,927$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.49	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	1,650$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	1,540$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.81	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	1,500$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.46	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	10c	1,453$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.26	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	19c	1,451$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.89	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	8c	1,425$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.61	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffbc…a7e7backed Yes	2c	1,419$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	12c	1,419$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.41	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	18c	1,404$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.88	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	10c	1,331$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.4	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	15c	1,300$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	9c	1,200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	1c	1,180$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	154	7.8%12 W · 142 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	1,179$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.24	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	3c	1,151$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.76	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	3c	1,136$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.92	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	8c	1,104$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.66	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	8c	1,078$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.32	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	1,045$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes	20c	1,035$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.71	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	7c	1,035$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0650…37e5backed Yes	15c	1,030$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.5	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	11c	969.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.47	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	7c	915.97$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.12	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	19c	893.32$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.02	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…a09dbacked Yes	10c	849.78$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.21	61	23%14 W · 47 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	11c	848.61$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.59	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	2c	845$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	11c	800.19$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.8	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	21c	800$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.62	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	16c	799.99$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.73	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…4132backed Yes	18c	797.17$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.14	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	13c	794.74$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.19	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c5…dd45backed Yes	12c	789.56$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.11	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	14c	787.3$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.87	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	12c	759.52$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	749.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	730$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	14c	711.03$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.97	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	13c	701$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.13	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	15c	700.11$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.22	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	14c	700.1$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.58	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	689.95$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.99	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	5c	687.45$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	211	22.3%47 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	3c	644.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes	9c	635.84$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.92	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	12c	573.41$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.68	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e75…d599backed Yes	7c	563.38$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.49	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Yes	16c	550$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	15c	535.91$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.83	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0085…a8fcbacked Yes	9c	525$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.95	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	13c	523.97$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4a…9b09backed Yes	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	7c	491.4$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.68	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	78c	486$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.97	219	59.8%131 W · 88 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event