Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf008e6bf759491927d2f6546a64c7acee6afd1d7a494d3b3bce709c9e04c693e

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $509,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $516,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,375 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x514b…6931backed No	14c	31,332$4,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,233.9	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	0c	20,193$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.19	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	36c	17,932$6,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,464.51	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	75c	9,235$6,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,303.41	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	20c	9,156$1,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,299.54	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked No	17c	8,244$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.21	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	30c	6,350$1,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,470.5	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	1c	6,179$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	41c	6,120$2,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,603.69	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	39c	6,028$2,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,668.22	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	29c	5,825$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,109.05	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	57c	5,089$2,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,887.05	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	75c	4,720$3,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,556.01	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	68c	4,427$3,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,030.44	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	24c	4,231$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,209.49	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	28c	4,174$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,020.12	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked No	1c	3,983$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	32c	3,948$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,703.46	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed Yes	62c	3,928$2,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,506.44	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	39c	3,679$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,261.26	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	42c	3,410$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,990.35	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	29c	3,278$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,316.26	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	21c	3,173$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,512.95	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	47c	3,011$1,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.14	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	45c	2,961$1,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,637.14	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed No	64c	2,872$1,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,845.03	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	64c	2,760$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758.29	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	43c	2,740$1,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550.08	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	64c	2,679$1,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,705.95	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	72c	2,678$1,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.16	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	46c	2,554$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380.26	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	0c	2,400$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	48c	2,295$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.93	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	33c	2,242$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,504.75	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	24c	2,225$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.83	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	2,150$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,524.69	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	26c	2,064$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.12	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	29c	2,027$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,438.77	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	36c	2,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	36c	1,847$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,177.13	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Yes	52c	1,827$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.2	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	36c	1,809$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.41	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	28c	1,783$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.76	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	27c	1,688$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.7	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	61c	1,668$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.25	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1612…7287backed No	80c	1,622$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.18	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	39c	1,621$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.42	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	28c	1,583$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.97	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d88…1d65backed Yes	19c	1,568$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.35	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	26c	1,534$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.06	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b73…c441backed Yes	19c	1,529$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,238.65	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	20c	1,500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	68c	1,500$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.18	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	33c	1,500$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.55	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	50c	1,469$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.05	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed Yes	35c	1,409$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.99	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	63c	1,400$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	30c	1,320$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.77	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	29c	1,309$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.71	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df4…c7cbbacked No	76c	1,306$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.45	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	65c	1,278$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.31	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No	65c	1,207$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.46	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	70c	1,200$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.97	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	72c	1,200$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.96	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	24c	1,169$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.69	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes	34c	1,165$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.96	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b4…2d43backed Yes	23c	1,150$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.5	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	34c	1,137$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.57	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	35c	1,097$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.8	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	29c	1,089$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.22	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No	63c	1,087$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.52	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	31c	1,080$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.49	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	22c	1,073$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$834.37	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	80c	1,071$853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.22	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	63c	1,054$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.71	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	64c	1,002$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.91	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	28c	1,001$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.68	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0650…37e5backed Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f15…8a55backed No	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	18c	999.99$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.99	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	41c	973.24$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.24	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	968$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.4	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	62c	958.22$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.26	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x952b…c92fbacked Yes	35c	917.17$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.16	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900e…be66backed No	66c	906.35$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-5.2wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	35c	896.11$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.3	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	70c	893.2$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.2	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	63c	880.15$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.31	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	27c	867.82$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.51	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	40c	858.75$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.98	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf042…3a87backed Yes	25c	850$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.5	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	20c	846.35$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.08	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3758…5c70backed Yes	30c	841.96$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.93	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a6…69f3backed Yes	23c	831.18$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.02	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	40c	830.44$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.75	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Yes	28c	829.99$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.69	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3a…4580backed No	67c	828.02$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.19	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0085…a8fcbacked No	73c	815.48$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.9	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	19c	814.82$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event