Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87142239adf6a27d3cdc73ef542907c1dd278ca5c5b4723ebbd489b079413c0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 1c | 25,664$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…67dabacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 2.3%4 W · 173 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +467.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,907$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 0c | 16,237$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 209 | 7.7%16 W · 193 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,905$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 1c | 14,209$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,785$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 2c | 8,996$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 254 | 13.4%34 W · 220 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes | 4c | 8,246$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.22 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…ad3abacked Yes | 3c | 7,937$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 183 | 4.4%8 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 8c | 6,879$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.52 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 2c | 5,887$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 5,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 186 | 3.8%7 W · 179 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…5f38backed Yes | 9c | 4,895$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.53 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,249$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 2c | 3,731$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 3c | 3,644$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,489$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes | 1c | 3,066$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 384 | 4.7%18 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 6c | 2,547$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 12c | 2,476$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.62 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 10c | 2,218$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,131$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,131$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 2c | 1,641$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 580 | 11.4%66 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 6c | 1,575$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0085…a8fcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,539$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 5c | 1,518$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 11c | 1,464$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 3c | 1,300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,203$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,183$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,164$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…6085backed Yes | 9c | 1,155$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 6c | 1,092$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,090$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 782 | 8.7%68 W · 714 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 3c | 1,036$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 3c | 1,004$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…f53fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d74…a191backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…de07backed Yes | 9c | 928.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 5c | 920.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…6ec5backed Yes | 7c | 786.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…9992backed Yes | 3c | 738.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 9c | 719.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes | 7c | 681.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…37e5backed Yes | 12c | 630$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…9971backed Yes | 8c | 629.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 352 | 12.8%45 W · 307 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 11c | 605.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc7…b583backed Yes | 12c | 603.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 588.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 7c | 530.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…6c44backed Yes | 9c | 519$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…ebf2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 11c | 490$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 5c | 450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…ab63backed Yes | 3c | 443.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…307cbacked Yes | 12c | 431.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…3cf1backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes | 9c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes | 11c | 399.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 119 | 4.2%5 W · 114 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 10c | 398$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…0296backed Yes | 8c | 332.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 193 | 14%27 W · 166 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 11c | 332$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…8585backed Yes | 7c | 328.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…c2d7backed Yes | 12c | 312.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb65…8a30backed Yes | 10c | 311.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc4…1403backed Yes | 11c | 309.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…0f09backed Yes | 12c | 301.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…15adbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…a9ddbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…0813backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 277 | 7.9%22 W · 255 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…c991backed Yes | 12c | 289.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 161 | 24.2%39 W · 122 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 11c | 282$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…cc63backed Yes | 10c | 278.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…61a6backed Yes | 5c | 269$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…d1d3backed Yes | 6c | 262.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes | 7c | 250.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 81 | 9.9%8 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…9aefbacked Yes | 4c | 242.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde6…040fbacked Yes | 10c | 239.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…cf4cbacked Yes | 11c | 237.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…8911backed Yes | 9c | 225$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…fa5fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 8c | 220$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…1ec6backed Yes | 9c | 215.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…9bccbacked Yes | 11c | 214.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…a1b4backed Yes | 12c | 203.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…5073backed Yes | 10c | 201.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…a67cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…c61cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.