TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe62e…cc81

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
423
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT21352.6%112 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 213 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.47
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.15
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$64.27
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.61
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$61.48
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$55.16
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$207.2
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.41
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$51.59
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$139.87
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$117.79
Showing 25 of 213 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT16741.3%69 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.78
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78%+$233.87
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+342.5%+$246.86
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$263.86
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+158.3%+$316.54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$893.1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$79.32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+224.4%+$246.88
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$719.41
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+378.5%+$378.47
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$127.87
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$273.07
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.99
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$44.33
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$136.27
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$43.88
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$310.15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$485.9
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$618.48
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.